Posts Tagged ‘Jose Tabata’

2011 Fantasy Baseball – NL Hitting Stats

Nearing the end of the third week of the season and close to 50 at bats in the book, it is time to start looking to see if there are any early trends in terms or at bats or performance that could lead us to make some adjustments in terms of statistical projections for the rest of the season. While 50 at bats may seem like a small sample size and it is, we can watch the trends to see if they continue over the next few weeks to then get ahead of the other fantasy baseball owners in your league.

With that said, here is a look around the National League in order of runs scored per team to see if there are any numbers that stand out:

Cincinnati Reds: currently the highest scoring offense in all of major league baseball, the Reds have a couple of players that stand out. Jonny Gomes has all of a sudden turned into Frank Thomas at the plate, walking 14 times with only eight strikeouts, after a 39 walk to 123 strikeout season in 2010. Drew Stubbs has cut his strikeout rate four percentage points so far in 2011 which should give him a better chance to make some small gains in batting average. Jay Bruce on the other hand is heading in the wrong direction with a 10 percentage point jump in strikeouts, leaving him with 15k’s in 41 at bats and a .220 average.

Philadelphia Phillies: despite the loss of Jayson Werth to free agency and Chase Utley to injury, the Phillies are second in the National League in runs scored, thanks to six of the regulars hitting over .300. Wilson Valdez has been solid at second base and is hitting .351 with a stolen base and should be owned in all NL-only formats. Catcher Carlos Ruiz has gotten off to a good start as well hitting the same .351 with tow home runs and eight RBI.

Colorado Rockies: Troy Tulowitzki is justifying his position as a top 5 pick in fantasy baseball drafts this year, hitting .364 with seven home runs and 14 RBI. Jonathan Herrera has been the big surprise, hitting .458 with four stolen bases and eight walks against two strikeouts and is likely to start eating into Jose Lopez’s playing time.

St. Louis Cardinals: Lance Berkman has been the story in St. Louis so far with a .311 batting average and four home runs to go with 11 RBI. So far his move to the outfield has been going well, but I would still bet on an injury at some point this season. David Freese has hit when playing, batting .342 with two home runs and six RBI, but with him sitting out every third or fourth game, it makes him tough to own in mixed league formats.

Arizona Diamondbacks: only five players on the team currently have over 30 at bats this season and one of them is Willie Bloomquist who filled in nicely while Stephen Drew was out. The rest of the players like Gerardo Parra, Mevlin Mora, Juan Miranda, Russell Branyan, etc. are splitting too much time to give them any value in mixed leagues.

New York Mets: David Wright seems to have made progress on his strikeouts as his rate is at 25% which gives him a much better chance to hit over .300 again. Brad Emaus (30 at bats) and Daniel Murphy (27 at bats) are still in a battle for the second base job. Murphy has a lot more value in fantasy leagues because of his multi-position eligibility.

Houston Astros: who would have guessed that the best hitter on the Astros at this point would be Angel Sanchez? Sanchez is hitting .353 with one home run, eight RBI and a stolen base. Jason Boureois has some value in deeper NL-only leagues since he does not get many at bats, but he has managed to steal four bases early on thanks to some pinch-running.

Chicago Cubs: rookie Darwin Barney has been a pleasant surprise, hitting .345 with three walks and only one strikeout in 29 at bats. Tyler Colvin has seen additional time this week with Kosuke Fukudome out with a bad hamstring;.

Milwaukee Brewers: Nyjer Morgan has been out hitting Carlos Gomez which has not been an issue yet since Corey Hart has been out of the lineup, but once he returns, someone is going to lose some playing time. Prince Fielder looks motivated as he heads toward free agency and is hitting .372 with three home runs and 15 RBI.

Florida Marlins: Logan Morrison looks to be ahead of schedule in terms of the power department with three home runs and five doubles this season to go with nine walks and nine strikeouts. Donnie Murphy has not been the answer at third base, hitting just .143 in 28 at bats.

San Francisco Giants: I wrote last season about the impact of people changing positions and what it meant to their batting stats. It is too early to tell if we are seeing that with Aubrey Huff, but he definitely doesn’t look comfortable in the outfield. There was talk of switching Huff and rookie Brandon Belt in the field, but Belt is hitting .195 and moving him to the outfield is not going to help matters. There is also the issue of Cody Ross returning to the lineup soon which will impact at bats as well.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Matt Kemp looks like a new man this season and is hitting .444 with two home runs and eight stolen bases, to go with nine walks and only seven strikeouts. Jamey Carroll is hitting .372 with two stolen bases and has more value now with Rafael Furcal out of action due to injury.

Washington Nationals: lots of young hitters struggling in Washington around the Mendoza line, including free agent signee Jayson Werth. Wilson Ramos has been one of the few guys hitting with a .455 batting average and should see more time going forward over Ivan Rodriguez.

Atlanta Braves: the lone bright spot in Atlanta on offense is that Chipper Jones is healthy and hitting with a .304 average with one home run. Rookie Freddie Freeman has struggled with a .214 average and Alex Gonzalez has returned to earth after his first half power outburst in 2010 leaving the Braves a hitter short in their quest to win the division.

San Diego Padres: Orlando Hudson has taken advantage of the Padres aggressive attitude on the base paths and already has six stolen bases, putting him well on his way to surpassing his career high of ten. Brad Hawpe has been awful so far with a .129 average and more alarming, 13 strikeouts in 31 at bats. His platoon mate Jorge Cantu has not fared much better, hitting .148 in 27 official trips to the plate.

Pittsburgh Pirates: the lone bright spot so far in Pittsburgh has been Jose Tabata with two home runs and six stolen bases to go with a .302 average. Pedro Alvarez continues to struggle making contact, hitting .196 with 16 whiffs in 46 at bats.

2010 Waiver Wire – Week 11

Here is a look at some potential players to target in your fantasy baseball league that might be out there on the waiver wire in week 11.

American League only:

1B – Mike Carp – Carp was called up by the Seattle Mariners at the beginning of the week and has moved into the starting line up at first base as the Mariners look to add some juice to their offense. Carp was hitting .250 in Triple-A with 10 home runs and 31 RBI in 184 at bats before being recalled.

SS – Omar Vizquel – Vizquel has moved into the starting line up for the Chicago White Sox thanks to the injury to Mark Teahen. He should score a few runs and steal a couple of bases during his time as a full-time starter. He hit second Thursday night and delivered his first home run of the season.

SP – Jake Arrieta – I wrote about Arrieta earlier in the minor league report this week.  His control issues make him a risky play in a mixed league format, especially starting against American League East teams, but in an AL format, his strikeouts give him some value going forward.

OF – Ryan Raburn – with Magglio Ordonez sidelined with an oblique injury, Raburn could see some additional at bats over the next week or two. His numbers have been less than stellar this season with a .179 batting average and no home runs in 78 at bats, but he does have some thump in his bat.

National League only:

OF – Roger Bernadina - Bernadina seems to have found a home in right field for the Washington Nationals. He does not have any standout skills, but he has been quietly consistent since moving into a starting role. If you project his stats out over 500+ at bats, his line reads 10 home runs, 80 RBI and 20 stolen bases.

12 /15 mixed league:

OF – Jose Tabata – with so few stolen base options available on the waiver wire at this time of the season, a player that gets called up from the minor leagues with speed immediately becomes a top target for free agent budgets. Hitting lead off in Pittsburgh, Tabata should be able to score a decent amount of runs and could steal 15-20 bases over the course of the remainder of the season.

OF – Mike Stanton – after tearing up Double-A pitching Stanton debuted in the Florida Marlins line up this week, hitting seventh and playing in right field. Definitely worth picking up if you need home runs and can support what is to be an expected lower batting average with his propensity for striking out.

The Minor League Report – Week 10

For fantasy baseball owners that have been holding onto minor league players on their reserve in order to get a mid-season boost to their teams, their patience is about to pay off. This week marked the debut of Stephen Strasburg and Mike Stanton on Tuesday with Brad Lincoln and Jose Tabata getting called up today by Pittsburgh and pitcher Jake Arrieta expected to arrive tomorrow to start against the New York Yankees.

Lincoln was 6-2 with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 68 1/3 innings with 55 strikeouts. It has been a long journey to the major leagues for Lincoln who was the fourth overall pick in the 2006 draft and then missed the entire 2007 season following Tommy John surgery in April of that year. Lincoln got the start against Cincinnati on Wednesday night and allowed five runs on six innings with three strikeouts.

Jose Tabata was also promoted today and started in left field and hit lead off for Pittsburgh, going 2-for-4 with a stolen base. Tabata was hitting .308 in 224 at bats with three home runs, 19 RBI and 25 stolen bases. He has already stolen more bases so far this year than in any other season in the minor leagues with a high of 22 occurring back in 2005. He show far has not shown the ability to hit for power, but if your team is in need of stolen bases, he could be a good addition to your fantasy baseball team.

The one name missing from the list of Pittsburgh promotions was third basemen Pedro Alvarez. Alvarez started off slow in April and has been working to improve his plate discipline and performance against left-handed pitching. He was much better in May with a .294 batting average and six home runs and 30 RBI in 102 at bats. He is hitting .417 over his last 10 games and I would expect to see him promoted by the end of the month.

It looks like the Minnesota Twins might have a Denard Span clone in Double-A in the form of Ben Revere. Revere is hitting .303 with one home run, 16 RBI and 20 stolen bases in 208 at bats. A first round pick in 2007, Revere has hit over .300 at four different levels while stealing over 40 bases in both 2008 and 2009.

Outfielder Ryan Kalish was promoted to Triple-A by the Boston Red Sox after hitting .293 with eight home runs, 29 RBI and 13 stolen bases in 150 at bats. Even more impressive was his plate discipline with 28 walks against only 21 strikeouts at the age of 22.

Pitcher Michael Pineda of the Seattle Mariners is off to a great start in Double-A with a 2.10 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 64 1/3 innings with 70 strikeouts. He still has some work to do against left-handed hitters who are hitting .286 against him compared to right-handed batters hitting only .161 before he moves up to the next level.

Second basemen Reese Havens has New York Met fans dreaming about about an infield of David Wright, Jose Reyes, Havens and Ike Davis around the diamond in 2011. Havens, a first-round pick in the 2008 draft is hitting .344 since being promoted to Double-A with six home runs and 12 RBI in 61 at bats.

The Minor League Report – Week 4

The call ups continued last week as Wilson Ramos was promoted by the Minnesota Twins from the minor leagues in week 4. Washington Nationals phenom Stephen Strasburg received a promotion to Triple-A and while Mike Stanton has been going nuts at the plate, the Florida Marlins are keeping him at Double-A for now.

Stanton is hitting .360 on the season with 13 home runs and 29 RBI, despite striking out in 29% of his at bats. His slugging percentage is currently .884 with an OPS of 1.388 thanks to 25 walks drawn. It is only a matter of time before he is patrolling the outfield for the Marlins.

I have created a Minor League Tracker spreadsheet that shows all of the year-to-date stats for players that I highlighted in my team-by-team Triple-A minor league reports so you can easily keep an eye on possible players to target on the waiver wire in future weeks.

Hitters:

With A.J. Pierzynski struggling at catcher for the Chicago White Sox, keep an eye on Tyler Flowers in Triple-A. Flowers is hitting .284 with four home runs and 21 RBI on the season.

Outfielder Jose Tabata (Pitt.) has shown little power in 2010, but is hitting .340 with 10 RBI and 12 stolen bases. He should become a permanent fixture in the Pirates line up the second half of the season.

Ryan Strieby (Det.) and Desmond Jennings (TB) have both been out of action the past week due to injuries.

Pitchers:

Jeremy Hellickson (TB) carries a 5-0 record in Triple-A with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. With the way the Tampa Bay Rays rotation is going, Hellickson might end up pitching the second half of the season in relief barring an injury to a starter like David Price did in 2008.

Jay Jackson (Cubs) has a 1.50 ERA through six starts with a .90 WHIP ratio. Jackson has struck out 20 in 29 innings while allowing only seven walks.

Jake Arrieta (Balt.) has slowed down a little bit in his last two starts, walking nine in 11 innings with seven strikeouts. Despite those two games, he is still holding opposing hitters to a .165 batting average on the season with a 1.50 ERA.

The Toronto Blue Jays have more young pitchers on the way with Kyle Drabek in Double-A and Brad Mills in Triple-A coming up through the system. Mills has struck out at least six hitters in each of his five starts this season and now has 38 punchouts in 29 2/3 innings on the season to go along with his 3.03 ERA.

The Minor League Report – Pittsburgh Pirates Triple-A Roster

Here is the minor league report for the 2010 Indianapolis Indians, the Triple-A affiliate for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The key name to note on the roster is third basemen Pedro Alvarez. The second overall pick of the 2008 draft, Alvarez flashed some serious power in his first season in the minor leagues in 2009, hitting 27 home runs between two levels in 465 at bats with a .288 batting average. He has gotten off to a quick start in 2010 with three home runs the first week of the season and should be ready to join the Pittsburgh line up after June 1.

Another name to keep an eye on is outfielder Jose Tabata, although he has several questions about him in regards to if his age (21) is legit and whether his swing is ever going to develop into generating power. Tabata has a .295 minor league average with just 26 home runs in 1600+ at bats. He has shown a little bit of speed, but that was early on in the minor leagues. Last year he was 11-for-19 in stolen base attempts.

Brad Lincoln was the 4th overall pick of the 2006 draft and is close to realizing his dream of pitching in the major leagues. He missed all of 2007 following Tommy John surgery and pitched at two levels in both 2008 and 2009. Last season, Lincoln had a 3.37 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

How they rank:

Baseball America: Alvarez (1), Tabata (2), Lincoln (4)
Keith Law: Alvarez (1), Tabata (2), Lincoln (4)
John Sickels: Alvarez (1), Tabata (2), Lincoln (6)

Here is a look at 2010 Indianapolis Indians roster by position:

Catchers:

Luke Carlin
Erik Kratz

Infielders:

1B Steve Pearce
2B Brian Friday
SS Argenis Diaz
3B Pedro Alvarez
Neil Walker
Doug Bernier

Outfielders:

LF Brandon Moss
CF Jose Tabata
RF Brandon Jones
Brian Myrow
Jonathan Van Every

Starting Pitchers:

Kevin Hart
Donnie Veal
Brad Lincoln
Brian Bass
Chris Jakubauskas

Relief Pitchers:

Vinnie Chulk
Anthony Claggett
Corey Hamman
Steven Jackson
Jeff Karstens
Jean Machi
Jeremy Powell

2010 Pittsburgh Pirates Team Preview

This is the sixth part our series of 2010 fantasy baseball team previews looking at the National League Central. The team previews will include the projected batting order, projected rotation, rookies that could make an impact in 2010 as well as each players current ADP for a 15 team mixed fantasy baseball league.

2010 Pittsburgh Pirates Projected Batting Order:

1.  CF Andrew McCutchen (ADP 86)
2.  2B Akinori Iwamura  (ADP 393)
3.  RF Garrett Jones (ADP 188)
4.  C Ryan Doumit (ADP 185)
5.  LF Lastings Milledge (ADP 312)
6.  1B Jeff Clement (ADP 382)
7.  3B Andy LaRoche (ADP ND)
8.  SS Ronny Cedeno (ADP ND)

2010 Pittsburgh Pirates Projected Rotation & Bullpen:

1.  Paul Maholm (ADP 412)
2.  Ross Ohlendorf (ADP 415)
3.  Zach Duke (ADP 360)
4.  Charlie Morton (ADP ND)
5.  Daniel McCutchen / Kevin Hart (ADP ND / ND)

Closer – Octavio Dotel (ADP 254)
Handcuff – Evan Meek

2010 Pittsburgh Pirates prospects with potential impact this year:

1.  Pedro Alvarez – 3B
2.  Jose Tabata – RF
3.  Brad Lincoln – SP
4.  Tim Alderson – SP


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