Posts Tagged ‘Jose Reyes’

2011 Fantasy Baseball Lineup Planner – Week 20

Posted by Todd Lammi on August 7th, 2011

Here is a look at the latest news and notes from around major league baseball to help you set your fantasy baseball lineup for week 20 (August 8 – August 14)  of the 2011 fantasy baseball season.

American League:

Lost in the news that the Toronto Blue Jays called up top prospect Brett Lawrie this week was that the Kansas City Royals promoted second basemen Johnny Giavotella from Triple-A. Giavotella was hitting .338 for the Omaha Storm Chasers with nine home runs, 72 RBI and nine stolen bases. If you are looking for middle infield help in the American League, he can help your team next week.

The Tampa Bay Rays placed starting pitcher Alex Cobb on the disabled list and the team will now go back to the more traditional five-man rotation. Jeremy Hellickson and James Shields will both get two starts next week for the Rays with one less man in the rotation.

National League:

Starting pitcher Roy Oswalt of the Philadelphia Phillies returned from the disabled and struggled against the San Francisco Giants, allowing 12 hits and two walks in six innings while striking out four. It was Oswalt’s first start since pitching back on June 23 and he will face the Washington Nationals in his next start.

Jair Jurrjens was placed on the disabled list by the Atlanta Braves and replaced in the rotation by Mike Minor who got the start on Sunday against the Mets. Minor allowed four runs in 5 2/3 innings with five strikeouts. Minor’s next start will come at home against the Chicago Cubs.

Daniel Murphy of the New York Mets is going to miss some time after inuring his knee Sunday against the Atlanta Braves. Ruben Tejada has been recalled to take his place and Muprhy will likely be headed to the disabled list next week. The Mets also suffered another blow in the game as Jose Reyes suffered a pulled left hamstring and could miss time as well next week.

With Carlos Gonzalez activated from the disabled list by the Colorado Rockies, it means Seth Smith is in for a reduction in playing time with the Rockies offense performing well with Eric Young Jr. at the top of the batting order. if Young is still on the waiver wire in your league, he can give your team a big boost in stolen bases.

Outfielder Chris Heisey was placed on the disabled list by the Cincinnati Reds and was replaced on the roster by outfielder Dave Sappelt. Sappelt was hitting .313 with seven home runs and 29 RBI in 297 at bats in AAA.

To help set your pitching rotation for next week, check out the week 20, two start pitchers.

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2011 Fantasy Baseball ADP – Shortstop

Posted by Todd Lammi on February 15th, 2011

This is the fourth article in the series examining the current 2011 fantasy baseball ADP (average draft position) for the position of shortstop. The data used for this article is from Mock Draft Central using the NFBC scoring system which has 15 teams per league in a mixed format with two catchers needed per team.

The grid below has the players listed based on my 2011 fantasy baseball rankings with the current ADP shown for where a player would fall in either a 12 or 15 team mixed league. The rounds for a 12 team league may vary slightly as shortstops may slide a little bit later with fewer teams in the league, but it will still give you a good ballpark range for what round you should be looking to take that certain player that you have an eye on.

It is interesting to look at the fantasy baseball ADP for this position as there are three kind of distinct fantasy baseball tiers with the top eight players going in the first eight round, then another four players going in rounds 10-12 and then the rest of the players going in the latter stages of the draft.

Those people drafting at the end of round three are going to have to make a tough call as to whether they want Derek Jeter at shortstop or Jimmy Rollins. Though Jeter’s dropped off last year, the one thing you can say about him is that you know he is going to play in almost every game. Rollins only played in 88 games last year and is headed toward free agency so one would hope he comes into camp in great shape this year so that is news to be watching for when players report.

I don’t have Alex Gonzalez in my top 20 shortstops, but based on ADP it looks like he is going as the 11th shortstop off the board. I am hoping that is some type of data discrepancy as I can’t believe he would be going that high. Again, don’t pay for last year’s numbers as regression always tends to counter balance ups and downs from season to season. Also remember that most of his damage came in Toronto where it seemed like everyone was swinging for the fences last season.

12 Teams 15 Teams
Rank Name ADP Round Pick Round Pick
1 Hanley Ramirez 2 1 2 1 2
2 Troy Tulowitzki 4 1 4 1 4
3 Jose Reyes 25 3 1 2 10
4 Derek Jeter 53 5 5 4 8
5 Jimmy Rollins 43 4 7 3 13
6 Alexei Ramirez 81 7 9 6 6
7 Rafael Furcal 143 12 11 10 8
8 Elvis Andrus 75 7 3 5 15
9 Stephen Drew 112 10 4 8 7
10 Starlin Castro 153 13 9 11 3
11 Ian Desmond 168 14 12 12 3
12 Miguel Tejada 211 18 7 15 1
13 Jhonny Peralta 269 23 5 18 14
14 Asdrubal Cabrera 180 15 12 12 15
15 Marco Scutaro 202 17 10 14 7
16 Yunel Escobar 329 28 5 22 14
17 Jason Bartlett 283 24 7 19 13
18 J.J. Hardy 311 26 11 21 11
19 Reid Brignac 299 25 11 20 14
20 Erick Aybar 282 24 6 19 12
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2010 Final Fantasy Baseball Rankings – Shortstop

Posted by Todd Lammi on October 23rd, 2010

Here is a look at my 2010 final fantasy baseball rankings for the position of shortstop. Several players are included in the list that did not start the year at shortstop, based either on games played or where I expect them to play in 2011.

1. Hanley Ramirez – pretty much the season that was expected from Hanley except he lost some RBI because he spent 97 at bats hitting lead off in 2010. It was the first season he slugged under .500 since his rookie year on 2006.

2. Troy Tulowitzki - has established himself as the second best shortstop in fantasy baseball given the injury issues of Jose Reyes and Jimmy Rollins although Tulo did miss time due to injury himself this year. A phenomenal September saved his stats with 15 home runs and 40 RBI in 115 at bats.

3. Jose Reyes - Reyes made it through the majority of the season but as expected his stolen bases were impacted. Struggled on the bases the second half of the year going 11-for-19 in stolen base attempts.

4. Derek Jeter - started to show signs of aging this season, although the sheer number of at bats he accumulated somewhat masked that fact. Hit over .300 only the first month of the season, discounting 10 at bats in October and managed only two home runs with 24 RBI after the All-Star break.

5. Alexi Ramirez – three seasons of pretty stable numbers in every single category. If Jeter signs somewhere other than with the New York Yankees next year, will be interesting to see how many people push Ramirez ahead of him on their draft boards.

6. Stephen Drew – turned on the power after the All-Star break, hitting 11 home runs in 267 at bats. Still struggles to hit home runs at home though as for the third straight season he hit more bombs on the road.

7. Alex Gonzalez – came out of nowhere to hit the second most home runs of any shortstop this season and the 23 home runs tied for his career high he set back in 2004. The power was not quite the same when he was traded to Atlanta, hitting just six home runs in 267 at bats.

8. Rafael Furcal – he was on his way to giving fantasy baseball owners the best return on their investment at shortstop before injuries derailed him, causing him to miss 1/3 of the season. Stolen bases returned after being MIA the previous two years as he went 22-for-26 on the base paths.

9. Marco Scutaro – it was a solid season for Scutaro as his numbers were similar to 2009 except for a drop in stolen bases. The runs scored were boosted by the fact he hit lead off with Jacoby Ellsbury out of action.

10. Miguel Tejada – very durable despite turning 36 this season and even managed to return to shortstop upon being traded to San Diego. Put up similar home runs and RBI in San Diego compared to Baltimore in 166 less at bats.

11. Ian Desmond – not a bad rookie campaign that will be even better in 2011. Could move up a few rounds in fantasy baseball drafts depending where he slots in the line up next year. Thrived in the two hole in 2010, hitting .326 with four home runs and 19 RBI in 184 at bats with nine steals.

12. Elvis Andrus – runs scored were boosted by the fact he hit lead off after Julio Borbon was not up to task. Didn’t run as much the second half, going only 9-for-14 on steals after swiping 23 bags in the first half.

13. Yuniesky Betancourt – a power outburst in August with seven home runs propelled him to a career high of 16 dingers, which was three more than his combined 2008 and 2009 home run totals.

14. Cliff Pennington – Pennington went crazy on the base paths with 29 stolen bases for Oakland, a team not known for its running, although the team had no choice with its struggles to score runs. Homered in only two months, going deep three times in April and September.

15. Jhonny Peralta- was on his way to another ho-hum season before being traded to Detroit where he picked up his numbers. Has been a better hitter on the road the last few years and that will not change if he is back in Detroit in 2011. Hit just .223 at Comerica Park in 121 at bats with two home runs and 19 RBI.

16. Starlin Castro – hit .300 as a rookie and will just be 21 come next March. Ran more when he hit second in the order, going 9-for-15 on stolen bases.

17. Erick Aybar - Aybar looked okay in the first half before falling off after the All-Star break, hitting just .206 with 17 runs score and 13 RBI in 209 at bats.

18. Jason Bartlett – the second biggest disappointment at shortstop from a fantasy baseball perspective. Drops across the board in all categories including only a paltry 11 stolen bases, his lowest amount since 2006.

19. Orlando Cabrera – turns 36 in November, nothing really to get excited about stats wise for mixed leagues. Has a little bit of value in NL only leagues if he re-signs in that league

20. Jimmy Rollins - the fall from grace is not pretty for speedy middle infielders as they age. Injuries limited him to only 88 games, but average has now fallen three straight years and stolen bases look like they are at the 30 level instead of 40+ going forward.

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2010 Fantasy Baseball Tiers – Shortstop

Posted by Todd Lammi on March 25th, 2010

In a fantasy baseball draft or auction, it is helpful to use average draft position reports along with tiered rankings in order to make sure you get a player you want from each group before there is a statistical drop off.

Here is a look at the 2010 fantasy baseball tiers for shortstop.

Tier 1:  rounds 1-3

1.  Hanley Ramirez
2.  Jimmy Rollins
3.  Troy Tulowitzki
4.  Jose Reyes
5.  Derek Jeter

Tier 2:  rounds 7-8

6.  Jason Bartlett
7.  Alexei Ramirez
8.   Elvis Andrus

Tier 3:  rounds 10-15

9.  Miguel Tejada
10. Yunel Escobar
11.  Asdrubal Cabrera
12.  Erick Aybar
13.  Stephen Drew
14.  Alcides Escobar
15.  Everth Cabrera
16.  Rafael Furcal

Tier 4:  rounds 16-20

17.  J.J. Hardy
18.  Marco Scutaro
19.  Orlando Cabrera
20.  Ryan Theriot

Tier 5:  bottom of the barrel

21.  Cliff Pennington
22.  Ian Desmond
23.  Julio Lugo
24.  Edgar Renteria

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2010 New York Mets Team Preview

Posted by Todd Lammi on March 22nd, 2010

This is the third part our series of 2010 fantasy baseball team previews looking at the National League East. The team previews will include the projected batting order, projected rotation, rookies that could make an impact in 2010 as well as each players current ADP for a 15 team mixed fantasy baseball league.

2010 New York Mets Projected Batting Order:

1.  CF Angel Pagan (ADP ND)
2.  2B Luis Castillo  (ADP 311)
3.  3B David Wright (ADP 13)
4.  LF Jason Bay (ADP 25)
5.  1B Daniel Murphy (ADP 246)
6.  RF Jeff Francoeur (ADP 264)
7.  C Rod Barajas (ADP 404)
8.  SS Alex Cora (ADP ND)

2010 New York Mets Projected Rotation & Bullpen:

1.  Johan Santana (ADP 44)
2.  John Maine (ADP 316)
3.  Mike Pelfrey (ADP 339)
4.  Oliver Perez (ADP 466)
5.  Jon Niese / Fernando Nieve (ADP ND / ND)

Closer – Francisco Rodriguez (ADP 79)
Handcuff – Ryota Igarashi / Kiko Calero

2010 New York Mets prospects with potential impact this year:

1.  Jon Niese – SP
2.  Jenrry Mejia – RP
3.  Ike Davis – 1B
4.  Fernando Martinez – RF


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2010 Fantasy Baseball ADP – Shortstops

Posted by Todd Lammi on February 13th, 2010

by Todd Lammi

This is the fourth article in the series looking at the current 2010 fantasy baseball ADP (average draft position) for players at shortstop. The data uses ADP numbers from Mock Draft Central using the NFBC scoring system.

The chart below lists players arranged by my 2010 fantasy baseball rankings with the current ADP broken down by where that player would fall in a 12 or 15 team league by round and pick. The one caveat being that the 12 team numbers may be skewed slightly as some players may go later than others due to the larger player pool to pick from.

Undervalued:

J.J Hardy is currently going off the board as the number 19 shortstop which is too low in my eyes. He had some issues last season like the increase in strikeouts and being demoted to Triple-A. But don’t fall into the trap that many fantasy baseball owners do. You are not drafting him based on last years performance, but are selecting him based on his future performance in 2010. If he hits second in the batting order after Denard Span and Joe Mauer, he is going to get pitches to hit and is going to score more runs that he would have in the National League.

Everth Cabrera / Alcides Escobar are undervalued depending on the makeup of your team. If you are short on stolen bases midway through the draft, you could wait on Elvis Andrus and grab Cabrera or Escobar several rounds later. Cabrera will get you more steals and Escobar will have fewer steals but a higher batting average between the two.

Overvalued:

People seem to be looking at Rafael Furcal as if it were still 2006. His days of 20-30 steals are over with his recent back problems. If you are going to take a shortstop at the spot in the draft where he is currently going, you need someone that performs much better in home runs and RBI or steals more bases than what Furcal is going to give you.

12 Teams 15 Teams
Rank Name ADP Round Pick Round Pick
1 Hanley Ramirez 1 1 1 1 1
2 Jimmy Rollins 21 2 9 2 6
3 Troy Tulowitzki 17 2 5 2 2
4 Jose Reyes 23 2 11 2 8
5 Derek Jeter 51 5 3 4 6
6 Alexei Ramirez 105 9 9 7 15
7 Miguel Tejada 142 12 10 10 7
8 Jason Bartlett 104 9 8 7 14
9 Asdrubal Cabrera 155 13 11 11 5
10 Elvis Andrus 160 14 4 11 10
11 Yunel Escobar 151 13 7 11 1
12 Stephen Drew 113 10 5 8 8
13 J.J. Hardy 247 21 7 17 7
14 Everth Cabrera 223 19 7 15 13
15 Alcides Escobar 251 21 11 17 11
16 Rafael Furcal 131 11 11 9 11
17 Marco Scutaro 203 17 11 14 8
18 Erick Aybar 198 17 6 14 3
19 Ryan Theriot 238 20 10 16 13
20 Orlando Cabrera 187 16 7 13 7

The FBT Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide is now available for purchase for just $9.99. You can view a sample here to see the template for the top 10 catchers and top 10 starting pitchers.

The Draft Guide includes the following:

  • Projections in Excel for 480 players using the standard 5 x 5 fantasy baseball categories
  • Cheat sheets already set up to be printed out
  • Expanded player rankings for all positions
  • Ages for all players as of opening day
  • Word / PDF document that explains how to use the projections and some tips for some neat things to do in Excel.
  • The first article that will be only available to subscribers (and not posted on the website) for “how to win your fantasy baseball draft league”. This is a seven page document with 3,500 words of fantasy baseball goodness based on my 20 years of playing in fantasy baseball leagues.
  • You will also receive weekly reports every Monday that feature updates to rankings and a new article all the way up to opening day.
  • Support for any questions you have in regards to Excel to ensure you get the most out of the data.

Order now to get the information you need to dominate the competition!!!

Next up in the 2010 Fantasy Baseball ADP rankings will be third basemen.

Read More »

2010 Fantasy Baseball Rankings – Shortstops

Posted by Todd Lammi on January 30th, 2010

by Todd Lammi

This is the fourth report in the series of our 2010 fantasy baseball rankings looking at the position of shortstop. If you miss out on one of the top tier shortstops early, your options in the middle to later in the draft will offer you the potential to pick up some players with stolen bases but not much power.

This position features quite a few question marks as we head into fantasy baseball draft season. Will Jose Reyes rebound from surgery and still be able to steal 50+ bases? Can J.J. Hardy bounce back in a new environment after being demoted to AAA last season? Does rookie Ian Desmond get the chance to start at shortstop or does he start the season in the minor leagues?

Those of some of the questions to consider as you prepare for key players to focus in on. Let’s take a look at the 2010 fantasy baseball rankings to see where the value is.

1) Hanley Ramirez – the number one shortstop and the number two pick overall in fantasy baseball drafts. The stolen bases are trending downward going from 50 to 35 to 27 the last three seasons but the five-category package at a hard position to fill solidifies his status as the second best  player.

2) Jimmy Rollins – even in an off year he still went 21-77-31. He gets 670+ at bats every year and will score a ton of runs in the Philadelphia Phillies batting order. There had to something wrong with him the first half of the season that was never reported with the stat line he put up. The numbers then returned to normal after the All-Star break as he went 14-43-15.

3) Troy Tulowitzki – much like Aaron Hill, he bounced back after a subpar 2008 and put up stats similar to his 2007 numbers.  His career 57% success rate stealing bases means he might not run as much going forward. His 20 steals last year were 13 higher than his previous best total

4) Jose Reyes – the boom or bust pick of the shortstop position. His current fantasy baseball ADP has him going at the middle-to-end of the second round making him a potential steal IF he returns to form, as he was a top 5 pick in fantasy baseball drafts in previous seasons. Coming back from surgery due to a torn tendon in his hamstring and he has had some hamstring issues in the past make him a risky pick. He will be worth watching closely in spring training to see how well he is running.

5) Derek Jeter – he must not have liked what he heard about his regressing defense after the 2008 season. His new workout in the off-season  I think played a part in him boosting his offensive numbers, coupled with a new stadium that is kind to hitters. Still showing no sign of slowing down at age 35.

6) Alexei Ramirez – solid numbers across the board in his second season as he improved his plate discipline from 18 walks and 61 strikeouts to 49  and 66 in 62 more at bats.

7) Miguel Tejada – showed no signs of easing up at age 35 and even boosted his numbers last year, adding eight doubles, 20 more RBI and tacking on an additional 30 points in batting average. Age, coupled with moving back to the American East where the division is stacked with good pitching should give Tejada’s numbers a slight decrease across the board.

8.) Jason Bartlett – where did the power come from? Went from a single home run in 2008 to 14 last year. A change in the batting order helped to account for the increase in numbers. Hit lead-off 218 times, where he hit half of  his home runs from after batting ninth in all of 2008.

9) Asdrubal Cabrera – provides added flexibility of qualifying at second base and shortstop. Look for continued growth in 2010; should be bumped up a few spots in dynasty leagues.

10) Elvis Andrus – wow, nice season as 21-year-old rookie where he put up similar numbers in both halves of the season.  When doing fantasy baseball projections, it is important to keep in mind position in the batting order as noted with Bartlett above. If Andrus ends up hitting second like he did part of the year in 2009, 40 stolen bases is a good possibility.

11) Yunel Escobar – the second best hitter in the Atlanta Braves lineup. Much more consistent in all categories than the next two players after him on my 2010 fantasy baseball rankings.

12) Stephen Drew – struggled out the gate with an injury and never made up ground. His 2009 numbers look pretty much the same as 2007. When  I hear the name Drew, I just think of missed at bats. Another player that gets drafted much higher than he should based on name and “potential”.

13) J.J. Hardy – there was no hot streak in 2009 to carry him like he had in 2008 and 2007. After spending the end of the of the season in the minor leagues and traded to the Minnesota Twins in the off-season, Hardy should see an improvement in numbers, especially if he gets slotted second in the batting order. Of some concern to note is his strikeout rate, which has crept up 7 percentage points over the last two years.

14) Everth Cabrera – quite a jump for Cabrera, going from a Rule-V pick that had never played above Single-A,  to a solid shortstop for the San Diego Padres. Has some defensive issues but the team should let him work through them. An outside shot to lead all the shortstops in steals depending on the health of Reyes.

15) Alcides Escobar -  handled himself quite well in 125 at bats with Milwaukee, batting .304 with four steals. No real power to speak of but should provide solid batting average and stolen bases in his first full season.

16) Rafael Furcal – another shortstop getting drafted much too high. His back surgery last July seems to have robbed him of his wheels. Without the 25+ steals, he is just another guy.

17) Marco Scutaro – not too often you see guys in their mid-30′s become full-time starters and parlay that into a nice payday. Should be good for another season of slightly reduced numbers now with the Boston Red Sox.

18) Erick Aybar – add up his numbers from 2007 and 2008 and presto, you have his 2009 year. He has decent speed, but unfortunately he has not learned to steal bases correctly yet, as evidenced by his 65% success rate in the minor leagues and 59% rate in the Show.

19) Ryan Theriot – no power, but he is nice to own if you are looking for stolen bases late in your fantasy baseball draft.

20) Orlando Cabrera – assuming he has a starting job.

The FBT Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide is now available for purchase for just $9.99. You can view a sample here to see the template for the top 10 catchers and top 10 starting pitchers.

The Draft Guide includes the following:

  • Projections in Excel for 480 players using the standard 5 x 5 fantasy baseball categories
  • Cheat sheets already set up to be printed out
  • Expanded player rankings for all positions
  • Ages for all players as of opening day
  • Word / PDF document that explains how to use the projections and some tips for some neat things to do in Excel.
  • The first article that will be only available to subscribers (and not posted on the website) for “how to win your fantasy baseball draft league”. This is a seven page document with 3,500 words of fantasy baseball goodness based on my 20 years of playing in fantasy baseball leagues.
  • You will also receive weekly reports every Monday that feature updates to rankings and a new article all the way up to opening day.
  • Support for any questions you have in regards to Excel to ensure you get the most out of the data.

Order now to get the information you need to dominate the competition!!!

Next up in the series for the 2010 fantasy baseball rankings will be third basemen.

Read More »

 

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