by Todd Lammi
This is the second article in the series looking at the current 2010 fantasy baseball ADP (average draft position) for players at first base. The data uses ADP numbers from Mock Draft Central using the NFBC scoring system.
The chart below lists players arranged by my 2010 fantasy baseball rankings with the current ADP broken down by where that player would fall in a 12 or 15 team league by round and pick. The one caveat being that the 12 team numbers may be skewed slightly as some players may go later than others due to the larger player pool to pick from.
You can see from the grid below where the value drops off at first base, right after Billy Butler in round six or eight depending on the size of your league. There is then a seven to nine round gap before the next first basemen, Chris Davis, is selected. As mentioned in my 2010 fantasy baseball rankings for first base, based on the current ADP I see Joey Votto and Chris Davis currently as overvalued with the players still left on the draft board where they are being selected.
Billy Butler keeps moving up in mock drafts to a point that he is almost overrated as well because you are now paying for last seasons numbers plus some improvement. People are discounting Lance Berkman because of his age and his injury in 2009, but to be able to get him at the end of the fourth round in a 15 team league gives him great value.
| 12 Teams | 15 Teams | ||||||
| Rank | Name | ADP | Round | Pick | Round | Pick | |
| 1 | Albert Pujols | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | Ryan Howard | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 3 | Mark Teixeira | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | Prince Fielder | 9 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | Miguel Cabrera | 10 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 10 | |
| 6 | Lance Berkman | 57 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12 | |
| 7 | Joey Votto | 29 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| 8 | Kevin Youkilis | 33 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | |
| 9 | Justin Morneau | 44 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 14 | |
| 10 | Adrian Gonzalez | 32 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | |
| 11 | Carlos Pena | 75 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 12 | Kendry Morales | 54 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 9 | |
| 13 | Derrek Lee | 85 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 14 | Billy Butler | 86 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
| 15 | James Loney | 205 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 10 | |
| 16 | Paul Konerko | 201 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 6 | |
| 17 | Chris Davis | 145 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 10 | |
| 18 | Adam LaRoche | 194 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 14 | |
| 19 | Todd Helton | 195 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 15 | |
| 20 | Aubrey Huff | 287 | 24 | 11 | 20 | 2 | |
The FBT Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide is now available for purchase for just $9.99. You can view a sample here to see the template for the top 10 catchers and top 10 starting pitchers.
The Draft Guide includes the following:
- Projections in Excel for 480 players using the standard 5 x 5 fantasy baseball categories
- Cheat sheets already set up to be printed out
- Expanded player rankings for all positions
- Ages for all players as of opening day
- Word / PDF document that explains how to use the projections and some tips for some neat things to do in Excel.
- The first article that will be only available to subscribers (and not posted on the website) for “how to win your fantasy baseball draft league”. This is a seven page document with 3,500 words of fantasy baseball goodness based on my 20 years of playing in fantasy baseball leagues.
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Next up in the 2010 Fantasy Baseball ADP rankings will be second basemen.
