Here is the fourth article in the series for 2011 fantasy baseball rankings looking at the position of shortstop. As usual the position is top of heavy with only a couple of players with possible upside in the middle tiers with Ian Desmond, Starlin Castro and Elvis Andrus.
If you are looking for steals late in the draft, there are a few players that will be able to swipe close to 20 bases, such as Erick Aybar, Cliff Pennington and Ryan Theriot.
Just a reminder that you will be able to get player projections and more player rankings in the 2011 Fantasy Baseball Tools Draft Guide which will be released on February 1.
1. Hanley Ramirez – scored under 100 runs for the first time in his career and home runs dropped for the second consecutive season. Lost out on some RBI chances by getting 97 at bats from the leadoff spot. Combination of his position plus his ability still makes him the number two pick in fantasy baseball drafts and he will go number one in some leagues depending on the number of teams, roster size, etc.
2. Troy Tulowitzki – it’s interesting that statistically his season was better in 2009 in most categories except batting average, yet his ADP looks like he will be drafted higher in 2011. Saved his season stat wise with an incredible September, hitting 15 home runs and knocking in 40 runs in 115 at bats while hitting .322.
3. Jose Reyes – held up for a whole season, but made less effort to steal bases which hurts his value. Was only 11-for-19 on stolen bases the second half of the season. He went in the second to third rounds in most fantasy drafts last year when he was injured so don’t expect to get him at any type of discount in 2011.
4. Derek Jeter – the decline is finally starting to show for Jeter at age 36. Because of his team and where he hits in the lineup, he will still be good for runs scored. His .270 batting average was a career low as was his .340 slugging percentage. Power numbers were down after the All-Star break with just two home runs in 298 at bats. Struggled against right-handed pitching, bating .246 in 341 at bats.
5. Jimmy Rollins – Just turned 32 in November and batting average has dropped for three straight years. After suffering three different injuries to his legs last year in the form of strains and muscle pulls plus with him being a free agent at the end of this season, hopefully he has hit the weight room hard in the offseason to take of those potential issues in 2011. With an ADP that currently puts him in the middle of the third round, people picking at the front of the draft and going to have a good chance to grab him.
6. Alexei Ramirez – has had a pretty solid cluster grouping in three seasons in all stat categoires except for runs scored which has edged up slightly each season. Ran more on the bases the second half of the season, stealing 10 of his 13 bases.
7. Rafael Furcal – was on his way to a comeback season before injuries struck again. Has had less than 400 at bats in two of the last three years. Still managed to put up the same amount of home runs and RBI despite having 230 less at bats and his stolen bases were over 20 for the first time since 2007.
8. Elvis Andrus – caught a break when Julio Borbon could not cut it in the outfield and moved from last to first in the batting order. Got worse on the base paths in 2010 which is a slight concern going forward. Was only 9-for-14 on steals after the All-Star break.
9. Stephen Drew – maybe the expectations are too high based on the hype and his last name that he doesn’t get enough credit for having a decent season and others take it to be disappointing. Has kind of settled in to what he is, a mid-teen power guy with a couple of stolen bases. With Reynolds and LaRoche gone, this should be the year he finally cracks 70 RBI.
10. Starlin Castro – turns 21 in March so is still a few years away from any power showing. Should be close to a .300 hitter for his career, but steal needs to work on his base running. Was only 10-for-18 on stolen bases with the Cubs and had a success rate of 65% in the minor leagues.
11. Ian Desmond – not a bad rookie season for Desmond who will be close to 15 home runs and 20 steals if he can hit a few more home runs on the road after hitting just two in 263 at bats last year. Still needs work on his plate discipline as evidenced by his 28 to 109 walk to strikeout ratio. SO far his numbers in 607 total bats have been better than what he showed in 638 games in the minor leagues in terms of batting average and stolen base success.
12. Miguel Tejada – Tejada returns to the National League and the Bay Area at 36 years of age. Like Jeter, he also suffered a drop in batting average last season. He has been consistent with playing time, getting 600 at bats or more in nine of the last 10 seasons.
13. Jhonny Peralta – power picked up after being shipped to Detroit as did his plate discipline. Qualifies at SS and 3B but has much more value at SS or middle infield.
14. Marco Scutaro - don’t expect another 600 at season from Scutaro since he will be moving from hitting first to lower in the batting order in Boston. Will also qualify at 2b in leagues with a 10 game minimum.
15. Yunel Escobar – was awful in Atlanta the first half of the year with no home runs in 261 at bats with a .238 batting average before being shipped to Toronto where he hit .275 with four home runs in 60 games. Should bounce back like Kelly Johnson did when he left Atlanta but not quite to that extent.
16. Jason Bartlett – came back to earth as his power from 2009 did not carry over and he even ran less on the bases which left him with little value. Move to PETCO Park and the nation league will impact his stats as well.
17. J.J. Hardy – a wrist injury plus the pressure of playing for a new team and trying to bounce back from a disappointing 2009 impacted his performance at the plate. Was better after the All-Star break hitting .304 in 181 at bats vs. .226 the first half of the year.
18. Erick Aybar – season ended on a down note for Aybar after hitting .206 after the All-Star break. Managed to drive in only 16 runs in 325 at bats in the first half which almost seems impossible in the American League. Was pretty much useless hitting anywhere in the lineup but first, hitting .184 in 147 at bats in other parts of the lineup.
19. Cliff Pennington - batting average and power are always going to be low, but if you need steals late in the draft, could be worth a shot. It’s a pity he cannot get on base more because when he steals, he has great success, 40-for-51 career in the major leagues.
20. Ryan Theriot – wasn’t the same player once he left Chicago. Was only 4-for-9 on steals the second half of the season. His stats at Busch stadium are not too pretty, with a .220 average in 109 at bats. Qualifies at both second base and shortstop in 2011.


