Here is the seventh article in the series for 2011 fantasy baseball rankings looking at the position of starting pitchers. A lot of the pitchers in the top tier have scores for their rankings that are pretty close so then is just comes down to a matter of preference in terms of the team they play on or whether they are an American League or National League pitcher.
Just a reminder that if you are looking for more player capsules and stat projections, the FBT Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide will be released on February 1 so be sure to check back for that.
1. Roy Halladay – came over to the National League, won 21 games, claimed the CY Young award and tossed 9 complete games for the 3rd straight year. ERA and WHIP was his lowest since 2005. Only thing moving in the wrong direction is his home runs allowed which rose for the 3rd straight season.
2. Tim Lincecum – velocity was down and control was off the first half of the season, in the second half he gave up a few more home runs which caused ERA to rise. Was much more hittable which makes the gap between him and the next two guys ion the list not too big.
3. Adam Wainwright – season was right in line with 2009 numbers. Showed no ill effects from his 100 innings jump from 2008 to 2009. His five complete games were more than his three previous seasons combined.
4. Felix Hernandez – pretty impressive to see four straight seasons of improvement outside of wins which is a fickle category. Innings up, strikeouts up, ERA and WHIP all trending lower. Was dominant the second half of the year with a 1.53 ERA and a .94 WHIP.
5. CC Sabathia – stats were almost identical to his 2009 season despite a rough May which saw him post a 5.15 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Should be good for close to 20 wins and 200 strikeouts again.
6. Jon Lester - made nice improvements against right-handed hitters for the second year in a row. Also increased his ground ball rate by 6 percentage points which helped to offset his increase in walks.
7. Cliff Lee – has taken his control to new levels after walking only 18 hitters in 212 1/3 innings as he relies more and more on his cut fastball. The move back to the National League is only going to make his numbers even better.
8. Clayton Kershaw – wins still held somewhat in check by control and pitch count but it has gotten better each season. Very hard to hit when over the plate with a minuscule home run rate that gives him upside still.
9. Justin Verlander – followed up his 2009 breakout season with a similar WHIP and ERA but was unable to keep up his strikeouts losing 1.3 per nine innings.
10. Ubaldo Jiminez – showed improvement across the board in all categories for the second straight year. Was unable to keep up his phenomenal pace the second part of the year as ERA was 3.80 with a 1.30 WHIP.
11. Jered Weaver – was simply a beast at home with a 1.86 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP and only six home runs allowed in 111 1/3 innings. Strike out rate took a big jump allowing him to fan an extra 59 batters in 13 extra innings.
12. Dan Haren – was much better after coming back to the American League, with a 2.87 ERA and 1.16 WHIP for the Angels. ERA was inflated the first half of the season thanks to 16 home runs allowed in April and May in Arizona.
13. Zack Greinke – lost two strikeouts per game in 2010. Move to the National League and into a possible pennant chase should give him the motivation to be inspired again.
14. David Price - new bullpen behind him will likely make his ERA a little higher in 2011. Still has some work to do on his control to take the next step into the top handful of pitchers.
15. Cole Hamels – strikeout rate picked back up and he made great strides against left-handed hitters holding them to a .196 average. Was stellar after the All-Star break with a 2.23 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning.
16. Josh Johnson – talent is there but so is the injury risk. Was shut down toward the end of 2010 which still leaves him with one season in the major leagues with over 200 innings. First half numbers were simply sick with a 1.70 ERA and a .96 WHIP.
17. Matt Cain – has made strides against left-handed hitters the last two years which has helped his numbers. Control was superb the second half of the season with only 19 walks allowed in 102 innings.
18. Chris Carpenter – ERA jumped a run after his home run rate normalized in 2010. Was much better at home than on the road with a 2.81 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at Busch Stadium vs. 3.75 and 1.36 on the road.
19. Mat Latos - was considered on the bubble heading into spring training last year and ended the season as the Padres best pitcher. Struck out more than a batter per inning after the All-Star break with 90 strikeouts in 78 innings.
20. Tommy Hanson – interesting second half of the year as he lost strikeouts but also cut down his walk rate. Finished the second half with a 2.51 ERA and a .98 WHIP while holding hitters to a .205 average.
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