Posts Tagged ‘Carl Crawford’

2010 MLB Free Agent Signings – Crawford, Downs

The Boston Red Sox continue to bolster their offense this offseason, signing Carl Crawford for seven years and $142 million. The Jayson Werth deal with the Washington Nationals is forcing teams to come up with seven year deals for the top free agents in this years class. No real impact in terms of fantasy baseball value for Crawford but Jacoby Ellsbury will be affected by being dropped now to the bottom of the batting order which would negatively impact most of his stats.

It has not been a fun winter for Los Angels Angels fans who heard rumors of potential Carl Crawford, Rafael Soriano and Adrian Beltre signings. The team finally made a splash on Friday signing Scott Downs to a three-year, $15 million contract. The 34-year-old lefty will be added to the mix of bullpen candidates including Fernando Rodney and Jordan Walden as potential closers. My guess here is that Rodney starts as closer with Downs getting a handful saves and Walden getting a couple. It is crazy to think now that the going rate for middle relievers has jumped to $5 million plus.

On Thursday, the Baltimore Orioles finalized a trade with the Minnesota Twins, sending two minor league relief pitchers Brett Jacobson and James Hoey to the Twins for J.J. Hardy and utility infielder Brendan Harris. Hardy finally gives the Orioles a semi-decent shortstop and gives them a whole new left side of the infield with J.J. and recently acquired Mark Reynolds. The big winner in fantasy baseball is Alexi Casilla in Minnesota who will now take over as the starting shortstop. Casilla will be a goods play late in fantasy baseball drafts for teams looking for a middle infielder that can steal bases.

2010 MLB Free Agency Preview – Outfielders

Let’s continue our look at the available free agents, turning our attention to the outfield.  Assuming most leagues don’t differentiate between left, center and right, I will be grouping them all together.

Remember, this is ranking JUST the free agent outfielders based off of the 2010 final outfielder fantasy baseball rankings.

1.) Carl Crawford: As I mentioned in the third base preview, the Angels are going to want to make a splash in free agency and I think it starts with Carl Crawford.  They have a need for an outfielder as well as a leadoff man making Crawford the perfect fit.   Other interested teams are the Red Sox and Yankees (obviously) and the sleeper team, the San Francisco Giants.  After winning the World Series the Giants may be able to open up their wallets a bit but I don’t think they’ll be able to justify spending over $100M while they are still paying for Barry Zito and Aaron Rowand and haven’t locked up their bread and butter, the young rotation.  Therefore, Crawford will sign with the Angels and produce like he always has racking up a .300 average, with decent power, runs, and a whole lot of steals.

2.) Vlad Guererro: If you watch any footage of the World Series it wouldn’t take long for you to  realize that Vlad shouldn’t go anywhere near the outfield, but for fantasy purposes he still qualifies there.  Vlad started strong in 2010 but finished with a mediocre 2nd half and postseason performance, hurting his offseason leverage.  Since there is a deep DH market this year I think Vlad will have to settle for a similar one-year deal that he signed last offseason.  Familiarity will win out in this as the Rangers will resign Vlad in their attempt to return to the World Series.  Vlad’s 2nd half is a little disconcerting but remaining in Texas is the best situation that Vlad owners could hope for.

3.) Jayson Werth: The Phillies have pretty much made it public that they won’t be signing Werth and instead they are handing the job over to Domonic Brown.  Brown may be a nice sleeper for next year but Werth has been nothing but fantasy gold since joining the Phillies.  Over the last three years Werth has averaged a .279 batting average, 29 homers, 84 RBI, 92 runs, and 18 steals, fulfilling his duty as a true 5 category star.  Teams that lose out on Carl Crawford will likely turn to Jayson Werth and right now that looks like the Red Sox and Tigers.  In the past previews I mentioned that Victor Martinez will sign with the Tigers and that the Red Sox may lose out on Adrian Beltre.  If that’s the case it’s unlikely that the Tigers will sign Martinez and Werth and it’s unlikely that the Red Sox will let Beltre walk without replacing his production somewhere.  Therefore, I think the Red Sox sign Jayson Werth.  Leaving Citizens Bank, the NL and Phillies lineup will hurt Werth a little but moving to Fenway should help mitigate that.  I can’t speak for how Werth will do as he approaches his late 30′s but for now Werth’s value should remain unchanged.

4.) Scott Podsednik: This speedster declined his portion of the mutual option with the Los Angeles Dodgers and became a free agent.  Crawford and Werth are great free agent options but after them Podsednik is probably the best remaining OF on the market as most of the others are more DH-types.  The Dodgers are rumored to still be interested in signing him but Podsednik clearly wants more than the $2M that he declined.  The Giants, who are also interested in Crawford, have a hole in LF that they’d like to plug without relying on formally released DHs  like Pat Burrell, Jose Guillen or Cody Ross.  Therefore, I think that the Giants will sign Podsednik.  Podsednik’s fantasy value relies solely on playing time so he can accumulate steals, and if he’s a starter (which he should be in a weak outfield class) you shouldn’t hesitate in drafting Podsednik.

5.) Manny Ramirez: This is where we start the DH portion of our outfield preview, but like Vlad these guys will qualify at OF in most fantasy baseball leagues.  One of the great hitters of our generation, Manny has seen his value go in free-fall mode as he’s been suspended for steroids and struggled to stay on the field.  However, even in his tarnished state teams will be interested because .400 OBP hitters just don’t grow on trees.  Oakland usually has a revolving door at DH each year (Frank Thomas, Mike Piazza, Jason Giambi, Jack Cust) and this year I think they sign Manny to fill that role.  The A’s have a great young rotation but to be like their foes over the bay in San Francisco, they’ll need to find some power production (a la Aubrey Huff) and Manny can bring that to them.  In terms of his value, as long as Manny is playing every day he’s going to hit, and a DH role will enable that giving him solid value for where he’ll likely get drafted.

6.) Magglio Ordonez: The Tigers are certainly interested in retaining Magglio Ordonez but they also are linked with many other free agents (Jayson Werth, Victor Martinez, etc.) and may let Magglio slip through the cracks.  The Blue Jays and Rays will also certainly be interested in Magglio as their DH and I think Magglio will be headed towards the AL East.  The Rays are looking to shed some payroll (rumors of trades with Upton, Garza, Shields) so it’s unlikely that they’ll be able to win a bid for Magglio, so I see him playing for the Blue Jays next year.  Magglio’s production when healthy shouldn’t be in question, he’s a sure .300 hitter with some decent pop, but it’s the staying on the field that will always be the problem with him.

7.) Johnny Damon: Damon is likely to leave the Tigers, but he shouldn’t be moving too far as he’ll likely be staying in the AL Central as a DH.  I could see the Royals taking a shot on Johnny Damon for him to return to his old team or the White Sox who last year realized the problems of not having a legitimate DH, hello Mark Kotsay!  While the story of Damon returning to the Royals and getting 3,000 hits would be nice, I think their young revolution will win out and that the White Sox will sign Damon.  US Cellular field isn’t the bandbox for lefties that Yankee Stadium is, but it’s certainly a very homer friendly ballpark and if Damon goes there expect him to hit more than the 8 HR that he had last year.

8.) Jermaine Dye: Jermaine Dye didn’t play last year but has said that he’s stayed in shape and is looking  to pull a “Jim Edmonds” and return after a year off.  He’s open to playing OF or 1b for a contender and I’m assuming DH as well.  Dye can get on a team if he’s willing to lower his demands of last year.  He may have trouble finding a contender or a non-DH spot, but I believe Dye can find a team this offseason.   If the Tigers focus on the big names and let others slip, they could turn to Dye.  The Mariners desperately need a hitter but won’t spend much money, making Dye a possible fit there as well.  Dye can still hit for power, but with the uncertainty involved in his situation (and many of the other lower tier OF/DHs) it’s hard to predict if he’ll get a big enough chance to get on fantasy managers’ radar.

Other free agent outfielders:

Marcus Thames
Pat Burrell
Austin Kearns
Eric Hinske
Jose Guillen
Rick Ankiel

Fantasy Baseball – May Outfield Rankings

by Todd Lammi

Instead of using some complicated formula to review May statistics, here is a breakdown of the numbers for the month sorted by RBI, for outfielders.

Who needs Manny Ramirez? Juan Pierre was 12th among outfielders with 18 RBI in the month of May. Gerardo Parra (#23) seems to have successfully made the jump from AA to the major leagues with little problems. Although he does not have much power, think 10 home runs to 15 home runs max, he will hit close to .300 and drive in runs. Carl Crawford put up staggering numbers in May, with .355-28-3-15-21.

Nick Swisher has slowed down after his big April, with a line of .150-9-3-10-0 in May. Daniel Murphy has not been able to take advantage of the absence of Carlos Delgado, posting .176-8-3-10-0. Jordan Schafer was ticketed for Triple-A after going .158-8-0-5-1 with 40 strikeouts in 101 at bats. Dexter Fowler has struggled the second and third time around the league as pitchers adjusted, going .237-10-0-3-2.

RK PLAYER TEAM AB BA R HR RBI SB
1 Jason Bay BOS 106 0.264 19 10 30 3
2 Raul Ibanez PHI 109 0.312 20 10 29 1
3 Adam Dunn WAS 107 0.243 16 10 27 0
M. Cuddyer MIN 109 0.312 23 8 26 2
4 Torii Hunter LAA 102 0.304 18 4 26 9
6 Brad Hawpe COL 83 0.361 14 5 23 0
Jermaine Dye CHW 88 0.261 20 7 21 0
Justin Upton ARI 110 0.373 25 7 21 5
7 Johnny Damon NYY 115 0.304 25 6 21 2
Shin-Soo Choo CLE 106 0.311 18 4 21 1
11 Nelson Cruz TEX 103 0.311 19 8 19 7
Adam Jones BAL 105 0.333 16 7 18 3
Nate McLouth PIT 106 0.255 15 5 18 5
Nick Markakis BAL 121 0.240 15 5 18 1
12 Juan Pierre LAD 111 0.369 23 0 18 9
Jay Bruce CIN 113 0.212 17 9 17 2
Carlos Beltran NYM 96 0.323 21 4 17 6
16 Jose Guillen KAN 97 0.289 9 2 17 0
19 Jayson Werth PHI 101 0.248 19 6 16 7
Matt Holliday OAK 103 0.291 18 5 16 4
Ben Zobrist TAM 80 0.313 14 4 16 4
Ryan Braun MIL 92 0.315 21 4 16 1
Gerardo Parra ARI 69 0.319 10 1 16 0
C. Granderson DET 111 0.270 19 6 15 6
Colby Rasmus STL 85 0.212 7 5 15 0
24 Gary Sheffield NYM 66 0.348 21 4 15 2
Carl Crawford TAM 121 0.355 28 3 15 21
G. Anderson ATL 84 0.286 6 1 15 0
29 Josh Hamilton TEX 59 0.237 12 4 14 0
Cody Ross FLA 94 0.287 16 4 14 2
Reed Johnson CHC 41 0.366 11 3 14 1
Matt Kemp LAD 113 0.292 16 3 14 7
Alex Rios TOR 116 0.302 16 5 13 2
J.D. Drew BOS 89 0.258 17 4 13 0
Juan Rivera LAA 91 0.319 11 4 13 0
Aaron Rowand SFO 106 0.283 16 3 13 2
G. Sizemore CLE 114 0.211 13 3 13 3
R. Spilborghs COL 83 0.241 13 3 13 4
Ben Francisco CLE 95 0.295 12 3 13 6
Clete Thomas DET 85 0.282 13 3 13 1
J. Hermida FLA 111 0.270 9 2 13 3
41 Chris Duncan STL 88 0.227 8 2 13 0
33 Randy Winn SFO 105 0.314 16 0 13 5
44 Mike Cameron MIL 97 0.247 13 6 12 0
Carlos Lee HOU 106 0.349 15 3 12 1
Milton Bradley CHC 82 0.268 14 3 12 0
Ryan Raburn DET 40 0.300 9 3 12 1
F. Gutierrez SEA 94 0.277 12 2 12 2
Eric Byrnes ARI 88 0.239 11 1 12 3
50 A. Soriano CHC 111 0.216 15 5 11 1
Nolan Reimold BAL 60 0.267 7 5 11 0
Scott Hairston SDG 100 0.300 12 4 11 4
Vernon Wells TOR 119 0.252 14 2 11 6
Marlon Byrd TEX 92 0.283 14 2 11 2
Corey Hart MIL 99 0.232 14 2 11 1
David DeJesus KAN 104 0.250 15 1 11 1
Melky Cabrera NYY 84 0.321 9 1 11 2
Elijah Dukes WAS 44 0.273 4 1 11 1
Brandon Moss PIT 82 0.305 11 1 11 0
J. Willingham WAS 76 0.303 16 8 10 0
Ichiro Suzuki SEA 130 0.377 11 3 10 5
Nick Swisher NYY 80 0.150 9 3 10 0
Daniel Murphy NYM 68 0.176 8 3 10 0
Denard Span MIN 113 0.283 20 2 10 6
G Matthews Jr. LAA 59 0.271 10 1 10 0
S. Victorino PHI 121 0.298 19 1 10 5
Jeff Francoeur ATL 109 0.229 14 1 10 1
Ryan Sweeney OAK 101 0.238 8 1 10 2
Nick Stavinoha STL 43 0.256 3 1 10 1
60 M. Ordonez DET 89 0.315 13 0 10 1
Gabe Gross TAM 47 0.277 9 2 9 1
71 Bobby Abreu LAA 82 0.232 12 1 9 6
Fernando Tatis NYM 66 0.227 8 1 9 0
Hunter Pence HOU 98 0.388 16 1 9 1
Delwyn Young PIT 51 0.275 5 0 9 1
Ryan Ludwick STL 43 0.186 7 3 8 1
76 Brian Giles SDG 86 0.221 10 2 8 0
Andruw Jones TEX 53 0.245 4 2 8 0
Jody Gerut MIL/SDG 58 0.172 5 2 8 1
81 B.J. Upton TAM 124 0.218 21 2 8 10
Chase Headley SDG 74 0.203 4 2 8 4
Andre Ethier LAD 95 0.211 11 1 8 2
S. Podsednik CHW 101 0.297 10 0 8 3
Michael Bourn HOU 109 0.303 17 0 8 10
Laynce Nix CIN 62 0.242 11 3 7 0
Fred Lewis SFO 89 0.258 19 3 7 3
85 Omar Infante ATL 46 0.348 7 1 7 1
J. Hoffmann LAD 15 0.200 2 1 7 0
89 Endy Chavez SEA 53 0.264 6 1 6 3
Willy Taveras CIN 108 0.269 19 1 6 7
David Murphy TEX 62 0.290 13 1 6 1
Jose Bautista TOR 52 0.231 8 0 6 3
Mitch Maier KAN 32 0.344 5 0 6 0
Jacoby Ellsbury BOS 120 0.308 16 0 6 11
Nyjer Morgan PIT 94 0.245 12 0 6 4
Rocco Baldelli BOS 32 0.250 3 2 5 0
Travis Buck OAK 49 0.245 9 2 5 0
96 Manny Ramirez LAD 14 0.214 3 1 5 0
Ross Gload FLA 36 0.306 5 1 5 0
Craig Monroe PIT 39 0.205 1 1 5 0
Coco Crisp KAN 82 0.220 12 1 5 9
Chris Young ARI 82 0.159 6 1 5 2
Seth Smith COL 49 0.204 8 1 5 1
Drew Macias SDG 15 0.267 3 1 5 0
K. Fukudome CHC 65 0.277 12 1 5 3
Gabe Kapler TAM 41 0.146 4 0 5 1
Matt Diaz ATL 37 0.378 9 0 5 0
Delmon Young MIN 55 0.236 5 0 5 1
Jordan Schafer ATL 101 0.158 8 0 5 1
Brett Gardner NYY 52 0.327 13 2 4 4
Matt Murton COL 37 0.270 7 1 4 1
Lou Montanez BAL 31 0.226 2 1 4 0
Matt LaPorta CLE 42 0.190 10 1 4 2
110 Austin Kearns WAS 63 0.222 7 0 4 1
Carlos Quentin CHW 56 0.196 5 0 4 1
W. Balentien SEA 67 0.209 7 0 4 0
Josh Anderson DET 53 0.226 3 0 4 4
118 Eric Hinske PIT 34 0.294 4 1 3 0
A. Amezaga FLA 33 0.182 3 0 3 1
Chris Duffy MIL 22 0.136 2 0 3 0

Fantasy Baseball – The Secret Club

by Todd Lammi

There is a secret club that has been forming in major league baseball. Not a lot of people know of its existence except for its members. If you have a member of this club on your fantasy baseball team, it could help explain why your team is low in the home run category. Much like the representing of the zip code was all the rage a few years ago, the new rage in 2009 is the 04 club. As in, hey David Ortiz, how many home runs do you have this season? I am 04 the season. Here is a look at the some of the members of the current club…

David Ortiz, zero home runs, 12 RBI, .220 average. Ortiz missed seven weeks last season with a wrist injury and has not looked like the same player since. Yes he did hit some home runs in September and in spring training, but with his build and age, the power could go quickly. It is funny to see his projected stats on ESPN, zero home runs and 85 RBI. Of course I don’t expect him to end the season with zero home runs, but I think the expectation of him hitting 30-35+ should be tempered.

Bobby Abreu, zero home runs, 11 stolen bases (2 Friday night), .356 batting average. The steals are a nice surprise, he only had one last year through the month of April with three home runs. Now at age 35, the power expectation should be the mid teens.

Carl Crawford, zero home runs, 10 stolen bases, .284 batting average. The stolen bases were expected to rebound after he battled hamstring injuries last season. At the age of 27, some thought this was the year he was going to finally hit 20 home runs, but it does not appear that way. He had two home runs in the month of April last season.

James Loney, zero home runs, 16 RBI, .309 average. His numbers in 2007 with 15 home runs in 344 at bats set the wrong expectations for fantasy owners. The 13 home runs he hit last season were more in line with realistic expectations. It is tough to roster him at a power position like first base with his lack of power. He had two home runs in the month of April last season.

Adrian Beltre, zero home runs, 10 RBI, .213 batting average. Has gotten off to a slow start so far this season. Nothing out of the ordinary when checking his various stat lines compared to years past. He has had shoulder problems in past years and back in March had complained of a sore shoulder so that could be affecting him. He had five home runs a year ago at this time.

Miguel Tejada, zero home runs, 4 RBI, .304 average. He suffered a drop in power last season and it looks like it is not coming back. At age 34, it looks like his run as a power hitting middle infielder is over. Three of his four RBI he plated in one game. He had four home runs through April last season.

Jhonny Peralta was a member of the club until he hit his first home run Friday night. It was not for a lack of effort though, as he has went down on strikes 26 times in his 81 at bats this season.

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