Posts Tagged ‘Aroldis Chapman’

2010 MLB September 1 Callups

With September 1 here, here is a look at some of the more interesting names that were called up today and they impact they might have in fantasy leagues over the course of the next five weeks. Keep in mind that there will be more players coming up and they still might be in Double-A or Triple-A if there team is in the playoffs.

1B / OF Brandon Allen (ARI) – Allen got the start in left field on Wednesday with Justin Upton out of the lineup and day-to-day. Allen went 2-for-3 and drove in four runs, thanks to a grand slam in the seventh innings. Allen was hitting .261 in Triple-A with 25 home runs and 86 RBI to go along with 14 stolen bases. He should see a good amount of playing time the last five weeks between the outfield and first base.

1B Freddie Freeman (ATL) – Freeman got the start at first base in place of Derrek Lee and went 0-for-3 with a strikeout while hitting sixth in the order. He could see spot starts the rest of the way since Lee has been injury prone this year, but Freeman’s real value won’t come until 2011. He hit .319 in Triple-A with 18 home runs, 87 RBI and six stolen bases.

2B Daniel Espinosa (WAS) – Espinosa should see a good amount of starts at seconds base for the Washington Nationals over the remainder of the season. Espinosa hit .268 at two levels in the minor leagues with 22 home runs, 69 RBI and 25 stolen bases in 481 at bats and is the favorite to start at second base in 2011. He came off the bench Wednesday to go 1-for-2 with an RBI.

OF Nolan Reimold (BAL) – It has been a disappointing season for Reimold who started the year as a strong sleeper candidate in Baltimore, but did not seem recovered enough from surgery to his Achilles to ever get untracked. Reimold was hitting .249 in Triple-A with 10 home runs, 37 RBI and 9 stolen bases in 337 at bats. He got the start Wednesday at designated hitter with the lefty Jon Lester on the mound and went 1-for-3 with an RBI. It looks like he could platoon with Luke Scott at DH and fill-in periodically in the outfield.

OF Lucas Duda (NYM) – With Jason Bay still out of action, Duda could get an extended look in left field for the New York Mets. Duda was in the lineup Wednesday night and hit seventh going 0-for-3 with a strikeout. He hit .304 between two levels in the minor leagues with 23 home runs and 87 RBI in 425 at bats.

OF Desmond Jennings (TB) – Jennings got the start in right field hitting second for Tampa Bay on Wednesday. He went o-for-3 with a strikeout and his playing time for the rest of the season is still in question, unless the Rays decide to give Ben Zobrist more time at second base. The addition of Brad Hawpe also takes away some possible at bats from the DH spot. Jennings hit .278 in Triple-A with 37 stolen bases in 41 attempts.

RP – Aroldis Chapman (CIN) – The Reds cheated the a little by getting him to the major leagues a day early so he would be eligible for the playoffs and he has pitched both days, working two scoreless innings with three strikeouts. He has some value in NL leagues for K’s but is not worth owning in mixed leagues. For keeper leagues, his long term outlook is still in the Cincinnati rotation

SP – Cory Luebke (SD) – Luebke is expected to get the start on Friday for the San Diego Padres against the Colorado Rockies. Luebke was 10-1 between two levels in the minor leagues with a 2.68 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 114 innings.

The Minor League Report – Week 7

There is good news for San Francisco Giants fans as Madison Bumgarner seems to have right his ship in Triple-A. After reports of a drop in velocity in spring training and in the regular season, it was determined that the loss of speed was not an injury but mechanical issues with his delivery. With the appropriate changes made and the addition of a cutter, Bumgarner has been back on track. His overall numbers have rebounded from his first two Triple-A starts in which he allowed 11 runs in seven innings. After eight starts, Bumgarner now has a 3.64 ERA and has racked up 32 strikeouts in 42 innings, including eight in his last start. With 5th starter Todd Wellemeyer sporting a 5.25 ERA and 1,42 WHIP, it is only a matter of time before Bumgarner is in the major leagues if can string together another few successful starts in the minors.

If you are in a one year league and you still are carrying Aroldis Chapman on reserve, it is getting toward crunch time for how much longer you can carry him. I dropped him in my 15-team mixed league this past weekend in order to grab another starter. Chapman has been hit hard in two of his last three starts, allowing 15 runs in 14 innings. Yes, he does throw hard and can rack up strikeouts, but his lack of control (21 walks in 35 innings) means he won’t be lasting too long in games if he was called up to the major leagues.

Jay Jackson looked like he was going to be first in line in Triple-A to fill a spot in the Chicago Cubs rotation. Instead, with relief pitching hard to come by and the failure of the Carlos Zambrano experiment, Jackson has been shifted to the bullpen which kills his value for 2010 if he remains in that role.

Kyle Gibson of the Minnesota Twins was promoted to Double-A last week and sparkled in his debut, tossing 7 1/3 shutout innings with 10 strikeouts. Gibson was the Twins first round pick in 2009 and has a 1.60 ERA through eight starts with 50 strikeouts in 50 2/3 innings.

Yonder Alonso was promoted to Triple-A by the Cincinnati Reds despite having less than stellar stats in AA. Alonso was hitting .267 with three home runs and 13 RBI in 101 at bats. Alonso has seen time at first base and in the outfield since he is blocked in the major leagues by Joey Votto.

Kyle Drabek continues to chug along in Double-A with five wins and a 3.06 ERA after eight starts. Drabek has struck out 45 in 47 innings while holding opposing hitters to a .236 batting average.

For those of you in deep dynasty leagues, Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels has lived up to his top prospect billing after being a first round pick in 2009. In Single-A, Trout is hitting .372 with five home runs, 15 RBI and 20 stolen bases.

The Daily Dirt from Thursday

I wrote just a few days ago in the Minor League Report that Chris Davis had maybe three more weeks until we saw Justin Smoak. It turned out to be actually only three more days as the Texas Rangers have recalled Smoak and designated Davis for assignment. No real big surprise with Davis hitting .188 with no home runs and striking out 35% of the time.  Smoak was hitting .326 with two home runs, but more importantly 16 walks with only five strikeouts.

Speaking of non-hitting first basemen, Troy Glaus has to be next up on the possible cut block. Freddie Freeman has started to heat up in Triple-A for the Atlanta Braves with three home runs in his last two games and six RBI and will be eventually knocking on the door if Glaus continues to struggle. Glaus went 0-for-4 Thursday with three strikeouts and is now hitting .170 on the season.

On the other side of the diamond, it is time for Brandon Wood to also go pretty soon I think. Wood is hitting .087 with zero home runs or RBI and only two runs scored in 46 at bats. Not helping matters is still his lack of plate discipline with two walks and 15 strikeouts. If Maicer Izturis is a free agent in your league and you need middle infield help, I would pick him up in advance of something happening.

Daisuke Matsuzaka is supposed to return from the disabled list and could get the start either Monday or Tuesday in Toronto, making him potentially a two-start starter in week 4 with the second start coming at Baltimore. In three starts in Triple-A, Matsuzaka had a 1.62 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP with 13 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings.

Ubaldo Jimenez picked up a win Thursday night with 7 1/3 innings of shutout ball with five strikeouts. He is now 4-0 with a 0.95 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. While all that is well and nice, he has rang up pitch counts of 115, 128 and 121 in his last three starts. Those are some awfully high numbers and we’re not even into May yet. His trade value is never going to be higher and with his recent pitch count numbers, there is no better time to trade him.

Aroldis Chapman worked 5 1/3 scoreless innings in Triple-A, allowing three hits with five walks and striking out eight. Until he gets his control in order which is going to enable him to pitch past the fifth inning and not blow out the bullpen on days he pitches, he is going to be stuck in Triple-A for awhile.

The Minor League Report – Chapman Debuts

Aroldis Chapman made his debut in the minor leagues Sunday afternoon for the Louisville Bats, the Triple-A affiliate of the Cincinnati Reds. Pitching against the Toledo Mud Hens, the minor league team of the Detroit Tigers, Chapman heated up the radar guns in his 4 2/3 innings of work, hitting 101 mph several times. He finished the day throwing 85 pitches, allowing no earned runs on five singles and one walk while striking out nine.

Throwing 55 of his 85 pitches for strikes, Chapman reached back and hit 99 mph or more ten times in the game. He also worked in some sliders and change ups but was able to dominate for the most part on the basis of his fastball. Despite walking only one batter, he still needs to tighten up his control as major league hitters won’t be flailing at some of those pitches out of the strike zone like a few of the minor league hitters were.

With the performance by Cincinnati Reds 5th starter Mike Leake on Sunday, there is no need to rush Chapman to the major leagues, unless Reds manager Dusty Baker blows Leake’s arm out by then as Leake threw 106 pitches in his first major league start.

From a fantasy baseball perspective, Chapman’s ascent to the major leagues could follow a similar pattern to that of Stephen Strasburg from the Washington Nationals. While the Reds have not set a timetable or innings limit on Chapman as of yet, there is really no need to promote him before June 1, unless an injury occurs to one of the current Reds starters. It will also give Chapman some time in the minor leagues to work on improving his mechanics and control so he is ready when he arrives in the big leagues.

NFBC Auction Analysis

This past Friday I competed in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC) in Las Vegas in a 15-team mixed auction format. The salary cap was $260 in a Rotisserie league format with standard 5 x 5 categories. Due to the cost of the entry fees and the prizes that are paid out, all of the NFBC leagues are no trade leagues in order to avoid possible collusion.

Going into the auction, I had mocked up eight sample teams I could possibly buy in order to hit the targeted goals for each category depending on the flow of the auction. Here are the results for my team:

Hitters:

C – Victor Martinez ($25) – one of the guys I was targeting, as I have written many times before, I don’t believe in punting the catcher position.

C – Russell Martin ($11) – I wasn’t looking to get Martin, but several other catchers went for higher dollar amounts and I needed his 10 stolen bases.

1B – Lance Berkman ($16) – sometimes I am willing to price enforce a player if I think he is under the value I have set for him depending on the makeup of my roster and the other owner that is bidding on him, knowing that I am okay with rostering him if no one bids another dollar. I had $20 forecasted for Berkman so I was okay with him at $16.

2B – Brian Roberts ($17) – I was targeting him at the $16-$17 range, even if he only steals 20, I am happy to get him at a discount

SS – Derek Jeter ($22) – I had him a few dollars higher and was bidding him up, again, happy to get him at this price.

3B – Michael Young ($15) – I had him in the $17-$18 range and with this auction team, I was really trying to ensure my batting average held up to my goal.

Cor – Garrett Jones ($9) – I like being able to put his stolen bases at the corner spot.

Mid – Erick Aybar ($7) – another high average guy, he should steal 15-20 bases and score a ton of runs hitting first.

OF – Shin-Soo Choo ($19) – one of my targets, love to get 20-20 outfielders.

OF – Jason Bay ($22) – I had him a few dollars higher than this.

OF – Adam Dunn ($16) – was too cheap to pass up his power.

OF – Hunter Pence ($15) – another guy I thought was under valued.

OF – Lastings Milledge ($5) – not a huge fan of his, but needed 20 steals and he was the best fit. He is only 25 so there is still some upside there.

UT – Kyle Blanks ($5) – this was one of my main targets, I think he has a ton of upside even in San Diego, especially if he hits clean up.

Overall, I LOVE my offense. I tried to minimize risk by not going over $25 for any player so I think I was able to get a solid team and I should be first or second in every hitting category barring injuries. There was another team that drafted all closers and bought Albert Pujols, Hanley Ramirez and Alex Rodriguez as his first three hitters so his offense is loaded as well.

On the flip side, the pitching staff is not as pretty. I figured from mock drafts the way that pitchers were getting drafted several rounds higher that the prices would be higher as well and I was correct. I had set slots for 4 $10 starting pitchers, but once I saw those guys going in the $13-$15 range, I loaded up on offense and will have to scramble for pitching during the season.

Pitchers:

P – Max Scherzer ($8) – not a target, but I was happy to get his strikeouts for under $10

P – Stephen Strasburg ($5) – once I realized I was going to be short on pitching, I needed to take a chance on some strikeout pitchers that can help me later in the season. I think his numbers as far as starts / innings should mirror Tommy Hanson of 2009.

P – Aroldis Chapman ($3) – see Strasburg.

P – Jeff Niemann ($5) – picked up his strikeouts the second half of last year and has been striking out even more this spring

P – Wade Davis ($5) – hasn’t been that good in spring, but I still like his talent.

P – Hiroki Kuroda ($3) – good ratios to balance the rest of my staff.

P – Bronson Arroyo ($3) – numbers were much better the second half of the season when he put down his guitar.

RP – Jonathan Broxton ($19) – I would rather play two closers than three when possible so I wanted at least one solid guy. His price was the same as Mariano Rivera’s and I would rather have the extra 30-40 strikeouts.

RP – Leo Nunez ($5) – decent price for a second closer.

Reserves:

I had the first pick in the reserve draft so that too played into my thinking for how I built my pitching staff. I was hoping to grab Colby Lewis, Ian Kennedy, Jaime Garcia or Jeremy Hellickson here but they were all taken at the end of the auction.

So instead I went with Daisuke Matsuzaka with my first reserve pick followed by Kevin Correia and Ricky Romero. I also took a flier on Oliver Perez and added David Bush, so I have a few pitchers to possibly rotate into my rotation while waiting for Strasburg and Chapman. I grabbed two hitters in Chris Carter (Oakland) and Nate Schierholtz.

The way my offense is stacked, I don’t really need any hitters on reserve, but Schierholtz is insurance in case Berkman misses the first week and I can swing Dunn over to first base, which is another advantage of drafting / buying players that are eligible at multiple positions.

Overall, my pitching staff is a little short on some numbers, although I should be okay in saves assuming Nunez has the job the entire season. If Correia and Romero hold up, Dice-K comes back to form and Strasburg and Chapman are up by the start of June, I think my team will be in contention.

2010 Cincinnati Reds Team Preview

This is the fourth part our series of 2010 fantasy baseball team previews looking at the National League Central. The team previews will include the projected batting order, projected rotation, rookies that could make an impact in 2010 as well as each players current ADP for a 15 team mixed fantasy baseball league.

2010 Cincinnati Reds Projected Batting Order:

1.  CF Drew Stubbs (ADP 277)
2.  SS Orlando Cabrera  (ADP 182)
3.  1B Joey Votto (ADP 26)
4.  2B Brandon Phillips (ADP 37)
5.  3B Scott Rolen (ADP 341)
6.  RF Jay Bruce (ADP 114)
7.  LF Jonny Gomes (ADP ND)
8.  C Ramon Hernandez (ADP 267)

2010 Cincinnati Reds Projected Rotation & Bullpen:

1.  Aaron Harang (ADP 235)
2.  Bronson Arroyo (ADP 310)
3.  Homer Bailey (ADP 263)
4.  Johnny Cueto (ADP 227)
5.  Aroldis Chapman / Matt Maloney (ADP 242 / ND)

Closer – Francisco Cordero (ADP 107)
Handcuff – Jared Burton

2010 Cincinnati Reds prospects with potential impact this year:

1.  Aroldis Chapman – SP
2.  Mike Leake – SP
3.  Chris Heisey – LF


Auction Keeper League – How to Rebuild

If you are new to fantasy baseball auction leagues or have been playing in an auction league for a few years but have not had much success winning, this article will take you on a step-by-step guide of how to rebuild in an auction league format.

The majority of keeper auction leagues have contract limits which means you are likely going to be able to be competitive for a certain amount of years before you have to rebuild. Some owners think they can draft every year and have a shot at winning, but that is not the case. In an auction league with keepers, there is too much inflation to prices to be able to draft a team and make a run at the title unless you get extremely lucky, it is a shallow league and the rest of the owners are not very good.

Your best chance at rebuilding is by doing it from day one of the season. That way you can focus on which rookies you want to target in the draft as well get first dibs on the best keepers in trade from other owners. If you wait until June before deciding to throw in the towel and rebuild for next year, you are already behind the other rebuilding teams. At that point, you are rebuilding for two years away instead of being competitive the following season.

Heading into the auction there are two types of players you are trying to draft. Players that will help your team next year and form your core and the second group are players that you can trade to bring back in return younger players and draft picks.

Here is a look at my team from a NL only auction league from last season. This is a 14 team league with a $275 salary cap plus a six round reserve draft where the draft picks can be traded.  I went into the draft knowing I wanted to rebuild from day one.

My keepers:

  • Ryan Doumit – 11
  • John Baker – 10
  • Rickie Weeks – 25
  • Cameron Maybin – 16
  • Tim Lincecum – 22
  • Chad Qualls – 6

Out of this group, the only players I wanted to keep for this year were Lincecum, Qualls and Doumit; the other players were traded.

Drafted:

  • Edgar Renteria – 13
  • Matt Kemp – 36
  • Jake Peavy – 31
  • Aaron Cook – 13
  • Ricky Nolasco – 26

This entire group were players I wanted to trade. While Kemp was at a good price, there are always outfielders in the $30 range I knew I could grab in 2010.

Core: these were the main players I targeted to form the cornerstone of my team for the next few years:

  • Alcides Escobar – 2
  • Carlos Gonzalez – 3
  • Jonny Gomes – 3 (did not plan on him being a core guy but at $3 for 15-20 home runs makes him a core guy)
  • Jason Heyward – 1
  • Pedro Alvarez – 7
  • J.A. Happ – 2 — I was able to get him as a relief pitcher due to our rules based on a certain number of appearances as a starter / reliever.
  • Tim Hudson – 3 — injured players are a great place to look for keepers when you are rebuilding. If you are in an NL only league this season and are rebuilding, you should be targeting guys like Edison Volquez and Jordan Zimmermann.
  • Stephen Strasburg – 5

Farm System:

Before the auction I had several other players I did not want to keep going into the draft so I flipped those for draft picks, so instead of the usual six picks per team, I went into the draft with close to 20 picks to search for players that would be able to have an impact for me in 2010. As from my previous articles, I am always looking for players that have the best chance of helping me the following year so I am targeting guys that are in Triple-A or in Double-A with a shot to get to the major leagues based on the guys ahead of them at their position. Here is who I got:

  • Drew Stubbs – 5
  • Chris Coghlan – 5
  • Everth Cabrera – 10 – his salary was higher because he started the year in the major leagues
  • Gerardo Parra – 5
  • Bud Norris – 5
  • Aroldis Chapman – 10 – picked up September 1 when rosters expanded. Again, it pays to know and understand the rules of your league. In my league in September we can add three slots so I look for guys that may be coming over from Japan or were drafted in the June draft and could make a direct leap to the major leagues.

Picked up in trade:

  • Bronson Arroyo – 8
  • Omar Infante – 3
  • Eric Young Jr. – 5

In addition I have 23 out of the 84 draft picks in the reserve round. Six of my own picks plus 17 I picked up in trade, including three additional first round and second round picks.

So overall my team looks something like this heading into 2010:

  • C – Doumit – 11
  • C – open
  • 1b – open
  • 2b – Infante 3 / E. Young 5
  • ss – A. Escobar 2, E. Cabrera 10
  • 3b – open
  • of – C. Gonzalez 3, Gomes 3, Stubbs 5, Coghlan 5, Parra 5,
  • utility – Heyward 1, P. Alvarez 7
  • sp – Lincecum 22, Arroyo 8, Norris 5, Strasburg 5, Happ 2, Hudson 3, Chapman 10
  • rp – Qualls 6

You can see from the roster layout that there are several trade opportunities I will have to improve the team by moving a shortstop, outfielder and starting pitcher.

With the additional draft picks I will also be able to use those to trade for guys from other teams that will be rebuilding this season.

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