Fantasy Breakout By Position – Catcher Jonathan Lucroy

One of the challenges when it comes to ranking players by position in fantasy baseball is trying to determine which player is going to have that breakout season and return a profit to your auction buy or draft pick. When reviewing the list of catchers for the 2013 season, my pick to break out is catcher Jonathan Lucroy of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Lucroy was on pace for that type of season last year before he suffered a broken hand from a falling suitcase at the end of May and ended up missing two months of action which seems to be suppressing his draft value this season since he did not put up a full season worth of stats. I currently have Lucroy ranked ninth among fantasy catchers in a tier with Jesus Montero, Mike Napoli, Brian McCann and Salvador Perez. All of those players are currently going ahead of Lucroy in mock drafts right now which gives him some nice value.

A quick glance at his stats above show he has made good strides through three seasons, inching his walk rate up while doing a good job of reducing his strikeout rate last year. His batting average is going to regress given his BABIP (batting average on balls in play) in 2012 but with his increased contact rate, it at least gives him the chance to get “lucky” again.

2013 Fantasy Projection for Jonathan Lucroy 

I still think there is some upside in the projection I have for him in his home run and RBI total. That combined with his current average draft position,  makes him an attractive candidate to grab in the middle rounds of drafts after other teams have spent high draft picks on catchers.

 

To get 2013 fantasy baseball projections, check out our Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide.

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