This is the eighth article in the series of our 2013 fantasy baseball rankings looking at the position of outfielders ranked 41-60. At this point of the draft we start getting into names where you will often grab guys out of order to fill statistical category needs rather than looking at the best ranked player.
There are several intriguing names late that could return a nice profit depending on if they earn the playing time I have currently projected, such as Brett Gardner, Adam Eaton or Justin Ruggiano.
Here is a look at the fantasy baseball outfielders ranked 41-60 for 2013.
41. Jason Kubel - the move from Minnesota to Arizona resulted in a gain of 14 home runs at home for him. The 30 home runs was a little inflated, but he still should be closer to 25 than 20.
42. Josh Reddick - numbers weren’t quite as good the second half of the season with a .215 average, 12 home runs and 42 RBI. While 30+ home runs again is unlikely, he should be able to knock out 23-25 long balls.
43. Coco Crisp - continued his career trend of never having two consecutive seasons with 500 at bats. Numbers should be close to last season since he is a lock for several DL stints.
44. Alfonso Soriano - the most at bats he has had since 2007 and the first time he reached 100 RBI since 2005. No way I am paying for a repeat in 2013.
45. Dexter Fowler - ground ball rate has gradually dropped year-over-year and he has sacrificed some contact for home run swings which should put him in the neighborhood of 15 long balls this year.
46. Ichiro Suzuki - still good for 25+ steals, but can no longer be counted on to post a .300 or better batting average. Should score a decent amount of runs at the top of the order in New York.
47. Melky Cabrera - Performance Expected to Drop
48. Brett Gardner- elbow injury in April knocked him out of action until the playoffs. Runs scored takes a hit with a full season at the bottom of the lineup, but should return a profit based on where he is drafted if he holds up for 500 at bats.
49. Dayan Viciedo - was consistent both halves of the season stat wise which bodes well for 2013 though average is limited to his lack of strike zone discipline.
50. Ben Revere - sure 40 steals are nice, but he needs to provide value in another category to make him worth grabbing in a mixed league format.
51. Drew Stubbs - rising ground ball rate, falling walk rate and his average against right-handed pitching continues to decline each season. Strikeout rate has remained the same for three straight years which gives no room for average to top .250 without a lot of luck.
52. Starling Marte - career .312 average in the minor leagues but that is not going to translate unless he improves his plate discipline. Stolen bases should be in the 25-30 range if his success rate holds up..
53. Cameron Maybin - the impact of an almost 20 point swing in batting average plus more at bats in the bottom half of the batting order; 15 less runs scored and 14 less stolen bases. Did make some gains the second half of the season by cutting his strikeout rate by four percentage points and he hit over .290 in August and September.
54. Carlos Quentin - injuries continue to wreck the chances we see another 35+ home run season like we did in 2008. Yes, power is there but given his past history, projecting anything more than 475 at bats is foolish.
55. Adam Eaton - hit .355 in his minor league career in 1210 at bats with a ..456 OBP so he should score a decent amount of runs and hit for average. Only stole two bases in brief major league stint, but stole 30+ in each of the last two seasons in the minor leagues.
56. Justin Ruggiano - career .296 hitter in the minor leagues with 77% success rate on stolen bases. He is now the Marlins second best power hitter and should see 500 at bats which is more than he has seen his entire major league career so a 20-20 season is possible, though he is more likely to reach 20 in home runs instead of stolen bases.
57. Denard Span - healthy in 2012, his stolen base total returned . Move to Philadelphia should have little impact on his value though he may run a little bit more.
58. David Murphy - ho-hum, another 400-450 at bat season with pretty similar stats in all five categories except for a higher average. Only upside to him is if the Rangers ever give him an extra 100 at bats in a season.
59. Torii Hunter - last year was the first time he ever hit over .300 in his career so expect regression in that category. Strikeout rate jumped for the second year in a row and now at 37, skills are barely holding up.
60. Delmon Young - on to his third team in three years, strikeout rate has risen his last two years and walk rate was down last year. Nothing in his stats say he is going to post another season like 2010 any time soon.
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