Archive for the ‘Keeper Leagues’ Category

2011 Fantasy Baseball Strategy: Keeper Leagues Draft Format

With fantasy baseball drafts only a month or two away, it is time to start preparing for your fantasy baseball keeper league draft. There are several more challenges that go into getting prepared for a keeper league than there is in doing an annual draft that starts new each season.

First you need to determine which players you are going to protect. There are several ways that you can go about determining who you want to keep. One is by projecting all of the keepers for the other teams in the league. This will give you an idea of what positions will have some decent players to draft from so you can plan your keepers accordingly.

If you play in an AL or NL only format, not only do you have to look at the players that may be cut from other teams, you also have to be aware of the new players that have come over from other leagues. This will have an impact on your keepers plus the position of where you are drafting.

For example, in an NL only league, say you get 10 keepers and plan on keeping five pitchers. Regardless of who other teams cut, you could argue that the first four picks of the draft will be Cliff Lee, Zack Greinke, Shaun Marcum and Javier Vazquez in some order. Now, with five pitchers on your team as keepers, you may not want to take a pitcher there but it is the best value on the board. If you know this ahead of time, you can trade one of your possible keeper pitchers for a hitter so your team ends up more balanced.

Once you have projected all of the keepers in the league as well as your team, then you want to conduct a mock draft. You can do this simply on your own and since you most likely will know where you are drafting from. By doing this for the first five to six rounds, you will quickly be able to see what positions will have players available to pick from as well as which positions may be weak. After running through the mock draft, you may soon realize that you need to keep player A over player B because you are not going to be able to fill that position with anyone of value in the draft.

Just like in a one year draft, you will want to be tracking your goals throughout the draft to make sure you are hitting targets in pitching and hitting categories to make sure you are not falling short of any of your goals. The idea is to target the top three in each category with the closer you can get to the top of each one the better off you will be.

If for some reason your team is at a big disadvantage heading into the season and you don’t feel like you have the keepers to compete this year, then right from the start you need to be focused on next year. That means thinking of players that are coming off of injury and will be ready 2012 such as Kris Medlen or Stephen Strasburg or going for the next wave of rookies that are coming such as Mike Moustakas or Eric Hosmer.

In NL or AL only leagues because the talent pool is so shallow, rookies tend to go early in the first few rounds even for teams that are trying to win as the value of that player even playing half of the season is higher than anyone on the draft board plus you will get to keep that player for “x” number of years afterwards.

Another thing to be aware of in AL or NL only leagues is the contract situation of players. Because you will lose the rights to that player in most leagues if he is traded or signs as a free agent in the other league in the offseason, it is important to plan for that in advance. Losing a top player in an only league can be a setback where the talent pool is not as deep as it is in mixed formats.

2009 Fantasy Baseball links for keeper leagues

by Todd Lammi

Sticking with the theme of keeper leagues, I want to share some of my favorite free links for finding information on minor league players. Some of these may already be familiar to you, but hopefully some will provide you with new sources of information as you prepare for your fantasy baseball draft.

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=mlbdk2k9topprospectspt1 – If you are looking for rookies for this season as well as the future, Jason Grey of EPSN has his top 100 list available. I have played against Jason in several NFBC leagues in Las Vegas and he is a tough competitor in auction leagues. He has some really good insight into players along with recommendations from time to time. If Jason is speaking on fantasy baseball, I am always listening.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=law_keith&id=3840355 – Also of ESPN, Keith Law has his top 100 prospect list up as well. The top 25 are free to read, the next 75 require an ESPN insider subscription.

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/ – great place for finding career minor league statistics. Pitcher stats include hr/9, k/9 and bb/9 ratios.

www.minorleagueball – site by John Sickels, has a good selection of current prospects as well as prospect retro section which will hopefully give you some insight into current major league players and how their minor league performance transferred to the big leagues. Also has prospects per team which tend to draw quite a few comments so if you like discussing the minor leaguers of your favorite team, this is a good site for you.

http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/ – if you play in an AL or NL only league, this is a must reading site to give you a look at player contracts. It is helpful to review contracts that are expiring after the current season so you can determine people that may be potentially traded depending on the team they play for. Because you lose players in the off-season that are traded in most leagues, this site will help you avoid that potential problem from year to year.

http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/ – a lot of the information in Baseball America is subscription content, but there is a free Ask BA section where staff members answer questions that can provide some insight into players as well as a weekly Hot Sheet once the minor league season starts.

www.minorleaguebaseball.com – the official site of minor league baseball.

2009 Fantasy Baseball – Winning a keeper league

by Todd Lammi

Do you care if you win your fantasy baseball keeper league? It seems like a simple question but the answer seems to be a little more complex for some people who play fantasy baseball.

Let’s assume a few parameters and you will see what I mean. The assumptions are as follows: it is a keeper league (the number of keepers does not matter), the league will redraft every 5 years and there is an entry fee to play of over $100.

Now you might say, a $100 or more does not matter to me as an entry fee, I am paying that money for the joy of playing fantasy baseball for six months and that is a cheaper form of entertainment than anything else I could do for that same time period. To which I say, that is probably true, however, if that is your mindset, you are better off playing fantasy leagues at Yahoo or some other free service where there is no entry fee involved then.

Most owners, will buy a magazine or several magazines, sign up for newsletters / projections / draft software, etc. so in addition to the entry fee you are paying, tack on another $50-$100 in draft materials / seasonal information. On top of that, factor in the time that you will spend playing fantasy baseball. Wading through all of the information over the internet, watching Baseball Tonight or watching games on ESPN, add on another 10 hours per week of your time spent on fantasy baseball. Taking that 10 hours per week times an average of $20 per hour (or insert whatever $ amount you think your time is worth) times 30 weeks of the fantasy baseball season equals $6,000. I know, I know, this is not actual money coming out of your pocket, but my point is regardless of the entry fee, there is a cost (investment) associated with playing fantasy baseball, and like any investment in stocks, or certificates of deposit or even a savings account, you should want to see a return on that investment, either in the form of a check or trophy or both.

So with that out of the way, let’s examine the difference between a keeper league and a one year or annual league. Mmmm, there really is no difference. The categories are the same, the rules are the same, the only thing that changes between the two in most cases is the mindset of the owner. Okay, stop, go back and re-read that last sentence again, because it is important to think about.  The one thing I have noticed most in the years I have been playing fantasy baseball keeper leagues when determining the difference between the people who win leagues and the ones who don’t is the mindset of the owner.

For example, we just had a trade deadline in one of my basketball leagues recently. I offered another owner who is bunched together with five other owners in a tight race three players for LeBron James. These were three solid players who would have most likely given him the title and the cash prize. His response when he rejected the offer was, I can’t do the trade, it gives me too many keepers for next season. Wow! I can’t say that I was shocked, because I have heard a similar type answer in different sports, in different fantasy leagues  every year I play, but it still baffles me that when an owner has a great chance to win the league, they pass on it, in order to protect their keepers for the following season.

There are no guarantees for next year in a keeper league. Improvements of players, declines in performances, injuries, and changes in players roles all make it hard to assume that because your team is in the top three one year it will be in the top three the following year.   My advice is when the opportunity presents itself, go for the win every time.

If you have only played keeper leagues in the past, it is a good idea to try a one year league to get yourself in a different mindset when it comes to trading and waiver pickups. This will help you strike a good balance then in your keeper league for still keeping young talent, while at the same time playing to win your league.

Bill Simmons of EPSN had a great line in one of his recent articles regarding the Portland Trailblazers, saying “Portland seems content to be just a Promising Young Team With a Huge Internet Following for the next 12 years.” Don’t let this happen to your fantasy baseball team. It might be nice, to have the best collection of young talent, but if you have no league titles attached to your name, it doesn’t really matter, especially since your team will be broken up in a few years anyway for the redraft.

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