by Todd Lammi
This is the fifth article in the series looking at the current 2010 fantasy baseball ADP (average draft position) for players at third base. The data uses ADP numbers from Mock Draft Central using the NFBC scoring system.
The chart below lists players arranged by my 2010 fantasy baseball rankings with the current ADP broken down by where that player would fall in a 12 or 15 team league by round and pick. The one caveat being that the 12 team numbers may be skewed slightly as some players may go later than others due to the larger player pool to pick from.
Undervalued:
Kevin Kouzmanoff at pick 271 0verall looks like great value now that he is away from Petco Park. He hit only .200 at home vs. 287 on the road in 2009. He should also see a boost in runs scored now playing in the American League as well.
If I am picking at the end of the 4th round of a 15 team mixed league, I would be ecstatic if Aramis Ramirez was still on the draft board. It was just a year ago that he was a pick at the end of the second or early third round. He should be at 100% after dealing with shoulder issues all season in 2009 and there is no reason for him not to hit 25+ home runs with a batting average in the .290 to .300 range.
Overvalued:
I love Chipper Jones as a player, but his current average draft position seems too high. Looks to be partly because of the drop off in talent at third base that Jones is getting selected at his current ADP combined with the fact people automatically assume Jones is going to bounce back to hitting over .300 again this season. He turns 38 at the end of April and with the nagging injuries he is now encountering, I think there are much safer options much later in the draft, than to risk an 8th or 9th round pick on him.
| 12 Teams | 15 Teams | ||||||
| Rank | Name | ADP | Round | Pick | Round | Pick | |
| 1 | Rodriguez, Alex | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | Longoria, Evan | 10 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | Wright, David | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | Reynolds, Mark | 20 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | |
| 5 | Zimmerman, Ryan | 36 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 6 | |
| 6 | Sandoval, Pablo | 41 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 7 | Ramirez, Aramis | 63 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | |
| 8 | Figgins, Chone | 82 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 7 | |
| 9 | Young, Michael | 91 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | |
| 10 | Beckham, Gordon | 92 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | |
| 11 | Stewart, Ian | 134 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 14 | |
| 12 | Beltre, Adrian | 182 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 2 | |
| 13 | Gordon, Alex | 211 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 1 | |
| 14 | Cantu, Jorge | 171 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 6 | |
| 15 | Jones, Chipper | 133 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 13 | |
| 16 | Kouzmanoff, Kevin | 271 | 23 | 7 | 19 | 1 | |
| 17 | McGehee, Casey | 216 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 6 | |
| 18 | Blake, Casey | 226 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 1 | |
| 19 | Peralta, Jhonny | 204 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 9 | |
| 20 | Headley, Chase | 233 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 8 | |
The FBT Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide is now available for purchase for just $9.99. You can view a sample here to see the template for the top 10 catchers and top 10 starting pitchers.
The Draft Guide includes the following:
- Projections in Excel for 480 players using the standard 5 x 5 fantasy baseball categories
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- Expanded player rankings for all positions
- Ages for all players as of opening day
- Word / PDF document that explains how to use the projections and some tips for some neat things to do in Excel.
- The first article that will be only available to subscribers (and not posted on the website) for “how to win your fantasy baseball draft league”. This is a seven page document with 3,500 words of fantasy baseball goodness based on my 20 years of playing in fantasy baseball leagues.
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Next up in the 2010 Fantasy Baseball ADP rankings will be outfielders.
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